AVS vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

AVS

0 – 2

Full Time

Moreirense FC

Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AVS vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Moreirense FC 33 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	32	80
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	33	77
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	32	56
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	33	47
7	Moreirense FC	33	43
8	FC Arouca	33	42
9	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
10	Vitória SC	33	39
11	FC Alverca	33	36
12	Rio Ave FC	33	36
13	CD Santa Clara	33	33
14	CD Nacional	33	31
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	33	30
16	Casa Pia AC	32	30
17	CD Tondela	32	27
18	AVS	33	20

Head-to-Head

AVS 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Moreirense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-03 AVS 0–2 Moreirense FC 2025-05-17 AVS 0–3 Moreirense FC 2025-01-04 Moreirense FC 1–1 AVS

Recent Form

AVS

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	Moreirense FC	H	0–2	L
29 Dec	FC Porto	A	0–2	L
21 Dec	CD Nacional	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–6	L
06 Dec	Rio Ave FC	H	1–2	L
28 Nov	Vitória SC	A	0–4	L

Moreirense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	AVS	A	2–0	W
20 Dec	CF Estrela da Amadora	A	0–0	D
14 Dec	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–4	L
07 Dec	GD Estoril Praia	A	3–3	D
29 Nov	FC Famalicão	H	2–2	D
09 Nov	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

AVS		Moreirense FC
#18	Position	#7
20	Points	43
33	Played	33
3 / 11 / 19	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 14
26	Scored	36
66	Conceded	45
-40	GD	-9
0.61	PPG	1.30
9%	Win %	36%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AVS are 18th (20 pts). Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. AVS get us underway at .
Another three points for Moreirense FC.

Lineups

AVS Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alanzinho	2
Cedric Teguia	1
Jaume Grau	1
Guilherme Neiva	1
Joel Jorquera	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.82 AVS xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.74 Moreirense FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

AVS21% Draw26% Moreirense FC53%

Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw

47%

Draw or Moreirense FC

79%

AVS or Moreirense FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AVS14% Draw46% Moreirense FC40%

Actual: Moreirense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

12.6%

1 – 1

11.9%

0 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 3

6.4%

1 – 3

5.4%

1 – 0

5.4%

2 – 1

4.4%

2 – 2

3.9%

0 – 4

2.8%

2 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — AVS

Handicap	AVS covers	Push	Moreirense FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	11%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	42%	—	58%
+1	42%	25%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	18%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

AVS keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.