Thursday , 2 July 2026

AVS vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
AVS
0 – 2
Full Time
Moreirense FC
Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AVS vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)
6 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

2
2
AVS 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Moreirense FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-03 AVS 0–2 Moreirense FC 2025-05-17 AVS 0–3 Moreirense FC 2025-01-04 Moreirense FC 1–1 AVS

Recent Form

AVS
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Moreirense FC H 0–2 L
29 Dec FC Porto A 0–2 L
21 Dec CD Nacional H 2–2 D
13 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–6 L
06 Dec Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
28 Nov Vitória SC A 0–4 L
Moreirense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan AVS A 2–0 W
20 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–0 D
14 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–4 L
07 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 3–3 D
29 Nov FC Famalicão H 2–2 D
09 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L

Season Stats

AVS Moreirense FC
#18 Position #7
21 Points 43
34 Played 34
3 / 12 / 19 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 15
27 Scored 37
67 Conceded 49
-40 GD -12
0.62 PPG 1.26
9% Win % 35%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
AVS this season
26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

AVS are 18th (21 pts). Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AVS
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Moreirense FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Moreirense FC gets underway.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AVS.

Lineups

AVS Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85 AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AVS21% Draw27% Moreirense FC52%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw
48%
Draw or Moreirense FC
79%
AVS or Moreirense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AVS14% Draw46% Moreirense FC40%
Actual: Moreirense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 1
12%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
2.7%
2 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AVS

Handicap AVS covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 24% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

AVS keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.