Cardiff City FC vs AFC Wimbledon, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Cardiff City FC

4 – 1

Full Time

AFC Wimbledon

Tue 17 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs AFC Wimbledon — League One .

Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
AFC Wimbledon 46 games · 53 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Simon Mather

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals AFC Wimbledon

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-17 Cardiff City FC 4–1 AFC Wimbledon 2025-08-19 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Feb	AFC Wimbledon	H	4–1	W
14 Feb	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
07 Feb	Rotherham United FC	A	3–0	W
31 Jan	Burton Albion FC	A	2–2	D
27 Jan	Barnsley FC	H	4–0	W
24 Jan	Stockport County FC	H	1–1	D

AFC Wimbledon

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–4	L
14 Feb	Barnsley FC	A	3–3	D
07 Feb	Reading FC	H	3–2	W
03 Feb	Port Vale FC	A	1–0	W
31 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
24 Jan	Rotherham United FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		AFC Wimbledon
#2	Position	#19
91	Points	53
46	Played	46
27 / 10 / 9	W / D / L	15 / 8 / 23
90	Scored	51
50	Conceded	72
+40	GD	-21
1.98	PPG	1.15
59%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts). AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cardiff City FC to score. At the same time, AFC Wimbledon does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Wimbledon.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.73 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 AFC Wimbledon xG

I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC70% Draw18% AFC Wimbledon12%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 3.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

88%

Draw or AFC Wimbledon

30%

Cardiff City FC or AFC Wimbledon

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cardiff City FC55% Draw35% AFC Wimbledon10%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

8.7%

3 – 0

8.6%

3 – 1

7.8%

1 – 1

7.2%

1 – 0

6.9%

4 – 0

5.8%

4 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

0 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.6%

5 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	AFC Wimbledon covers
-2.5	33%	—	67%
-2	33%	21%	46%
-1.5	54%	—	46%
-1	54%	20%	26%
-0.5	74%	—	26%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	6%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.