Saturday , 14 November 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Racecourse Ground 12,829 HT 45' · FT 45'
Steven Fletcher pen 71' 1–0
Sam Smith 74' 2–0
Jack Marriott 87' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
  • Assistant 1 Karl Buckley (England)
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Burton Albion FC H 3–0 W
01 Apr Cambridge United FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Exeter City FC A 2–0 W
22 Mar Stockport County FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Reading FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–3 L
01 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
15 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–0 W
08 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
04 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC62% Draw24% Burton Albion FC14%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
38%
Wrexham AFC or Burton Albion FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC42% Draw48% Burton Albion FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.5%
2 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
4 – 0
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 26% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.