Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Racecourse Ground 12,829 HT 45' · FT 45'
Steven Fletcher pen 71' 1–0
Sam Smith 74' 2–0
Jack Marriott 87' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Burton Albion FCLeague One at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
  • Assistant 1 Karl Buckley (England)
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Burton Albion FC H 3–0 W
01 Apr Cambridge United FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Exeter City FC A 2–0 W
22 Mar Stockport County FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Reading FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–3 L
01 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
15 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–0 W
08 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
04 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Racecourse Ground that hosts another battle between Wrexham AFC and Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Charlie Webster is having his name booked by the referee on 10.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wrexham AFC that had 115 games and scored 101 goals.
  • 20' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Eoghan O'Connell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' Oliver Rathbone was booked on 33.
  • 34' Time for substitution for Wrexham AFC. Jay Rodriguez is replaced by Steven Fletcher.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' Wrexham AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Ryan Barnett is replacing George Dobson for the Wrexham AFC side.
  • 49' It’s gonna be a card for Owen Dodgson.
  • 54' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' Wrexham AFC is showing some good football. However, Wrexham AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. JJ McKiernan departs to be replaced by Dylan Williams.
  • 67' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' GOAL! Steven Fletcher scores on 71.
  • 74' Goal! Sam Smith scores his 62 goal in 366 matches.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Jack Marriott. He replaces Sam Smith on 77 minute.
  • 78' Fabio Tavares is replacing Rumarn Burrell for the Burton Albion FC side.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Anthony Forde. He replaces Julian Larsson on 79 minute.
  • 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Kalinauskas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Jack Armer is replaced by Tomas Kalinauskas on 85 minute.
  • 87' Goal! Jack Marriott scores his 49 goal in 385 matches.
  • 90' Max Crocombe is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC62% Draw24% Burton Albion FC14%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
38%
Wrexham AFC or Burton Albion FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC42% Draw48% Burton Albion FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.5%
2 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
4 – 0
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 26% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
53%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.