Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Exeter City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Jan | Grimsby Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Morecambe FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Burton Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jan | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Forest Green Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Oxford United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Burton Albion FC | Exeter City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #21 |
| 54 | Points | 49 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 13 / 15 / 18 | W / D / L | 12 / 13 / 21 |
| 50 | Scored | 52 |
| 60 | Conceded | 61 |
| -10 | GD | -9 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 28% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Burton Albion FC have kicked off against Exeter City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Burton Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 11' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Charlie Kirk comes on to replace Mark Helm.
- 16' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
- 21' Exeter City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Exeter City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 37' Another change for Exeter City FC made on 37 minute. Cheick Diabate leaves to be changed by Pierce Sweeney.
- 40' Exeter City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 45' Burton Albion FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 50' Pierce Sweeney is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
- 55' Exeter City FC is showing some good football. However, Exeter City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' It is a substitution in Exeter City FC team. Demetri Mitchell is replaced by Josh Key on 61 minute.
- 65' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Chris McCann is replaced by Conor Shaughnessy on 65 minute.
- 70' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' The crowd applauds Josh Walker as he leaves the pitch. Sam Winnall steps in for Burton Albion FC.
- 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 81' Kevin McDonald has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sam Nombe on 81 minute.
- 84' What composure from Sam Winnall! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 86' Burton Albion FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- It finishes all square. Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 12
- 2
- 37
- 15
- 5
- 44
- 8
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Charlie Kirk 11'
-
14
Josh Walker ↓ Sam Winnall 75'
Bench
- 7
-
9
Sam Winnall ↑ 75'
-
16
Conor Shaughnessy ↑ 65'
-
10
Charlie Kirk ↑ 11'
- 21
- 24
Coach
Dino Maamria
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Sam Nombe ↓ Kevin McDonald 81'
- 6
- 14
-
8
Archie Collins ↓ James Scott 81'
- 16
- 5
- 33
-
7
Demetri Mitchell ↓ Josh Key 61'
- 2
-
39
Cheick Diabate ↓ Pierce Sweeney 37'
- 9
Bench
-
29
Kevin McDonald ↑ 81'
- 18
-
26
Pierce Sweeney ↑ 37'
-
12
Josh Key ↑ 61'
-
23
James Scott ↑ 81'
- 11
- 15
Coach
Gary Caldwell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Winnall | 1 |
| Jasper Moon | 1 |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 1 |
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Billy Bodin | 1 |
| Josh Magennis | 1 |
| Millenic Alli | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-02-11
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
W
2023-02-04
Fleetwood Town FC
2–3
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-01-28
Burton Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
W
2023-01-14
Burton Albion FC
0–4
Shrewsbury Town FC
L
2023-01-07
Grimsby Town FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-01-01
Morecambe FC
5–0
Burton Albion FC
L
Exeter City FC Form
2023-02-11
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
L
2023-02-04
Exeter City FC
1–2
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2023-01-28
Milton Keynes Dons FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
W
2023-01-21
Portsmouth FC
2–0
Exeter City FC
L
2023-01-14
Exeter City FC
1–1
Forest Green Rovers FC
D
2023-01-01
Oxford United FC
0–1
Exeter City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burton Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Exeter City FC
52%
Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Exeter City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.