Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Exeter City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Jan | Grimsby Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Morecambe FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Burton Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jan | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Forest Green Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Oxford United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 2 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Burton Albion FC launch into their encounter with Exeter City FC.
- 5' Exeter City FC is showing some good football. However, Exeter City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Wales international Zac Ashworth has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 11' Charlie Kirk is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mark Helm at the 11 minute mark.
- 16' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
- 26' Exeter City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' The 39-year-old Chris McCann has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 37' Time for substitution for Exeter City FC. Cheick Diabate is replaced by Pierce Sweeney.
- 40' The referee calls foul for Jay Stansfield. He receives a Yellow card.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Exeter City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dino Maamria might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Demetri Mitchell departs to be replaced by Josh Key.
- 65' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Conor Shaughnessy comes on to replace Chris McCann.
- 70' Tom Hamer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Sam Winnall. He replaces Josh Walker on 75 minute.
- 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' Fresh legs for Exeter City FC! Kevin McDonald comes on to replace Sam Nombe.
- 84' Sam Winnall makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Burton Albion FC are in front.
- 86' Charlie Kirk is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
- It finishes all square. Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 12
- 2
- 37
- 15
- 5
- 44
- 8
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Charlie Kirk 11'
-
14
Josh Walker ↓ Sam Winnall 75'
Bench
- 7
-
9
Sam Winnall ↑ 75'
-
16
Conor Shaughnessy ↑ 65'
-
10
Charlie Kirk ↑ 11'
- 21
- 24
Coach
Dino Maamria
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Sam Nombe ↓ Kevin McDonald 81'
- 6
- 14
-
8
Archie Collins ↓ James Scott 81'
- 16
- 5
- 33
-
7
Demetri Mitchell ↓ Josh Key 61'
- 2
-
39
Cheick Diabate ↓ Pierce Sweeney 37'
- 9
Bench
-
29
Kevin McDonald ↑ 81'
- 18
-
26
Pierce Sweeney ↑ 37'
-
12
Josh Key ↑ 61'
-
23
James Scott ↑ 81'
- 11
- 15
Coach
Gary Caldwell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deji Oshilaja | 1 |
| Davis Keillor-Dunn | 1 |
| Sam Winnall | 1 |
| Jasper Moon | 1 |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 1 |
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Billy Bodin | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-02-11
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
W
2023-02-04
Fleetwood Town FC
2–3
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-01-28
Burton Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
W
2023-01-14
Burton Albion FC
0–4
Shrewsbury Town FC
L
2023-01-07
Grimsby Town FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-01-01
Morecambe FC
5–0
Burton Albion FC
L
Exeter City FC Form
2023-02-11
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Exeter City FC
L
2023-02-04
Exeter City FC
1–2
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2023-01-28
Milton Keynes Dons FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
W
2023-01-21
Portsmouth FC
2–0
Exeter City FC
L
2023-01-14
Exeter City FC
1–1
Forest Green Rovers FC
D
2023-01-01
Oxford United FC
0–1
Exeter City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burton Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Exeter City FC
51%
Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Exeter City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

