Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Burton Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Sep | Milton Keynes Dons FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Accrington Stanley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Exeter City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Oxford United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Cambridge United FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Aug | Port Vale FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Exeter City FC | Burton Albion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #21 | Position | #17 |
| 49 | Points | 54 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 12 / 13 / 21 | W / D / L | 13 / 15 / 18 |
| 52 | Scored | 50 |
| 61 | Conceded | 60 |
| -9 | GD | -10 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 26% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Exeter City FC have kicked off against Burton Albion FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. John Brayford made 372 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' A quiet spell here at St. James Park. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 18' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a Yellow card on 18.
- 23' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burton Albion FC backline.
- 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 33' Sam Hughes is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
- 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 43' Davis Keillor-Dunn is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
- 46' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harry Kite is hanging Jonathan Grounds on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Jonathan Grounds has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' Ciaran Gilligan makes way for Calum Butcher at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
- 62' Exeter City FC make a change. Matt Jay trudges off to be replaced by Sam Nombe on 62 minutes.
- 63' Burton Albion FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Deji Oshilaja on 63.
- 68' Rekeem Harper catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 68.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Davis Keillor-Dunn makes it 0-2.
- 70' Exeter City FC make a change. Jake Caprice trudges off to be replaced by Jack Sparkes on 70 minutes.
- 75' Burton Albion FC make a change. Davis Keillor-Dunn trudges off to be replaced by Mustapha Carayol on 75 minutes.
- 80' Exeter City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
- 84' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Deji Oshilaja.
- 87' A moment of madness from Calum Butcher on 87 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for Exeter City FC. Josh Key will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Sam Winnall comes on to replace Victor Adeboyejo.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Exeter City FC 0-2 Burton Albion FC.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
27
Jonathan Grounds ↓ Harry Kite 46'
- 18
- 26
- 8
- 12
- 7
- 5
- 20
-
2
Jake Caprice ↓ Jack Sparkes 70'
-
9
Jay Stansfield ↓ Harry Smith 70'
Bench
-
10
Sam Nombe ↑ 62'
- 40
-
3
Jack Sparkes ↑ 70'
-
16
Harry Kite ↑ 46'
-
11
Harry Smith ↑ 70'
- 19
- 15
Coach
Matt Taylor
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
-
14
Victor Adeboyejo ↓ Sam Winnall 90'
- 2
- 37
- 3
- 1
- 23
- 5
- 10
-
25
Ciaran Gilligan ↓ Calum Butcher 60'
Bench
- 19
-
9
Sam Winnall ↑ 90'
-
6
Calum Butcher ↑ 60'
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 75'
- 24
- 12
- 17
Coach
Dino Maamria
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Winnall | 1 |
| Jasper Moon | 1 |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 1 |
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Billy Bodin | 1 |
| Josh Magennis | 1 |
| Millenic Alli | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
2022-09-17
Exeter City FC
0–2
Burton Albion FC
L
2022-09-13
Shrewsbury Town FC
3–2
Exeter City FC
L
2022-09-03
Exeter City FC
1–0
Milton Keynes Dons FC
W
2022-08-27
Accrington Stanley FC
0–0
Exeter City FC
D
2022-08-20
Exeter City FC
0–1
Cheltenham Town FC
L
2022-08-16
Exeter City FC
3–1
Wycombe Wanderers FC
W
Burton Albion FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burton Albion FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
69%
Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.