Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 17 Sep 2022 · 14:00 UTC St. James Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
3
2
Exeter City FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Burton Albion FC H 0–2 L
13 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
03 Sep Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–0 W
27 Aug Accrington Stanley FC A 0–0 D
20 Aug Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Exeter City FC A 2–0 W
13 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–2 L
03 Sep Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
27 Aug Cambridge United FC A 3–4 L
20 Aug Port Vale FC H 0–2 L
16 Aug Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Exeter City FC have kicked off against Burton Albion FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jake Caprice, as he is very good at scoring at St. James Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Cameron Borthwick-Jackson.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a Yellow card on 33.
  • 38' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Another change for Exeter City FC made on 46 minute. Jonathan Grounds leaves to be changed by Harry Kite.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Exeter City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' Burton Albion FC ring the changes. Ciaran Gilligan has done his job and it is now time for Calum Butcher to step up.
  • 62' Sam Nombe gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Matt Jay and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' GOAL! Deji Oshilaja scores on 63.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Rekeem Harper. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 69' Davis Keillor-Dunn does the damage! The net is bulging and Burton Albion FC surge ahead!
  • 70' Exeter City FC ring the changes. Jake Caprice has done his job and it is now time for Jack Sparkes to step up.
  • 75' The whistle greets Davis Keillor-Dunn as he departs to be replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
  • 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' Deji Oshilaja was booked on 84.
  • 87' Calum Butcher is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Josh Key on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Victor Adeboyejo makes way for Sam Winnall at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC31% Draw29% Burton Albion FC40%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
69%
Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC20% Draw49% Burton Albion FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.