Saturday , 14 November 2026

ES Troyes AC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 19 Feb 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade de l'Aube HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stade de l'Aube.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Bastien
  • Referee Hicham Zakrani
  • Referee Jeremy Stinat
  • Referee Eddy Rosier
  • Referee Thomas Luczynski
  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Montpellier HSC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Stade de Reims A 0–4 L
04 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–3 L
01 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–4 L
28 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
15 Jan Lille OSC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb ES Troyes AC A 1–0 W
12 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 3–0 W
05 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
01 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
29 Jan AJ Auxerre A 2–0 W
15 Jan FC Nantes H 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
ES Troyes AC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

ES Troyes AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/5
61-75
1/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ES Troyes AC
Renaud Ripart 1 G
Lucas Maronnier 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC31% Draw31% Montpellier HSC38%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
62%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
69%
ES Troyes AC or Montpellier HSC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC22% Draw52% Montpellier HSC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.