EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- RB Bragantino 18 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 19 |
| +2 | GD | +6 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
RB Bragantino this season
RB Bragantino this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). RB Bragantino are 5th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Bragantino
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
RB Bragantino
| Isidro Pitta | 6 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Barbosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Juninho Capixaba | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and RB Bragantino get this one started.
- 5' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' It’s high time Anderson Marques made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
- 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Evangelista on 20 minutes.
- 25' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Xavier made 325 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' RB Bragantino fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' Thaciano puts EC Bahia on the lead.
- 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Evangelista suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Eric Ramires. He replaces Gustavinho on 46 minute.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Fernandes, as he is very good at scoring at Octavio Mangabeira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 53' That is a card for EC Bahia. Thaciano will be fuming at that decision.
- 57' Matheus Fernandes is replacing Lucas Evangelista for the RB Bragantino side.
- 59' Jadson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
- 64' Time for substitution for RB Bragantino. Jadson is replaced by Lincoln.
- 69' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everaldo is replaced by Gabriel Teixeira.
- 74' The travelling RB Bragantino supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 77' A change in the RB Bragantino ranks — Thiago Borbas exits the field as Talisson enters on 77.
- 82' RB Bragantino have won 338 goals from 250 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 85' Another change for EC Bahia made on 85 minute. Cauly leaves to be changed by Ademir Santos.
- 90' It’s a booking for RB Bragantino player. Henry Mosquera gets a card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Rafael Ratao 77'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 85'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 69'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 77'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 85'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Rafael Ratao ↑ 77'
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 77'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 69'
-
–
Rezende ↑ 77'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
RB Bragantino Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- –
- 36
- 8
- 5
- –
-
28
Vitinho ↓ Henry Mosquera 46'
- 11
-
22
Gustavinho ↓ Eric Ramires 46'
-
18
Thiago Borbas ↓ Talisson 77'
- 45
Bench
- 29
-
10
Lincoln ↑ 64'
-
7
Eric Ramires ↑ 46'
-
35
Matheus Fernandes ↑ 57'
- 40
- 2
- 4
- 31
- 33
-
–
Henry Mosquera ↑ 46'
-
21
Talisson ↑ 77'
- –
Coach
Anderson Marques
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luan Candido | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Claudinho | 2 |
| Ytalo | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
RB Bragantino xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
75%
Draw or RB Bragantino
52%
EC Bahia or RB Bragantino
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | RB Bragantino covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
RB Bragantino keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.