Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Hull City AFC

3 – 1

Full Time

Southampton FC

Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Backhouse

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Hull City AFC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Southampton FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-20 Hull City AFC 3–1 Southampton FC 2024-02-20 Southampton FC 1–2 Hull City AFC 2023-10-21 Hull City AFC 1–2 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	Southampton FC	H	3–1	W
13 Sep	Swansea City AFC	A	2–2	D
30 Aug	Bristol City FC	A	2–4	L
23 Aug	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–3	L
17 Aug	Oxford United FC	H	3–2	W
09 Aug	Coventry City FC	A	0–0	D

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	Hull City AFC	A	1–3	L
14 Sep	Portsmouth FC	H	0–0	D
30 Aug	Watford FC	A	2–2	D
23 Aug	Stoke City FC	H	1–2	L
17 Aug	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
09 Aug	Wrexham AFC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Hull City AFC		Southampton FC
#6	Position	#4
73	Points	80
46	Played	46
21 / 10 / 15	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
70	Scored	82
66	Conceded	56
+4	GD	+26
1.59	PPG	1.74
46%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Hull City AFC and Southampton FC is underway.
Another three points for Hull City AFC.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Fabio Carvalho	1
Anass Zaroury	1
Joe Aribo	1
Liam Delap	1
Ryan Fraser	1
William Smallbone	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Hull City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.71 Southampton FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 70% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC46% Draw23% Southampton FC31%

Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw

69%

Draw or Southampton FC

54%

Hull City AFC or Southampton FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Hull City AFC33% Draw40% Southampton FC27%

Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 1

0 – 0

0 – 2

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap	Hull City AFC covers	Push	Southampton FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.