Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 17.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Southampton FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L
14 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
30 Aug Watford FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Southampton FC
#23 Position #7
10 Points 24
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 4 / 3
14 Scored 29
30 Conceded 15
-16 GD +14
0.67 PPG 1.60
13% Win % 53%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Kuryu Matsuki 4 G 1 A
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw25% Southampton FC48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Southampton FC
73%
Derby County FC or Southampton FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC16% Draw42% Southampton FC42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 3
6.3%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.