Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Peterborough United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Mon 1 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
James Collins 1' 1–0
1–1 9' Harrison Burrows
James Collins 60' 2–1
2–2 84' Kwame Poku
2–3 90+4' Ricky Jade-Jones

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Derby County FC A 3–2 W
29 Dec Barnsley FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Reading FC H 2–2 D
23 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–1 W
16 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–0 W
09 Dec Oxford United FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Peterborough United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Peterborough United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Peterborough United FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC38% Draw27% Peterborough United FC35%
Actual: Peterborough United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Peterborough United FC
62%
Derby County FC or Peterborough United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw44% Peterborough United FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Peterborough United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Peterborough United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.