Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Morecambe FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 4 Feb 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Morecambe FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Morecambe FC H 5–0 W
30 Jan West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Derby County FC A 0–5 L
28 Jan Bristol Rovers FC H 5–1 W
24 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 0–4 L
07 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Burton Albion FC H 5–0 W
29 Dec Accrington Stanley FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Morecambe FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park.
  • 5' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Morecambe FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Liam Gibson on 25.
  • 30' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Farrend Rawson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 40' Lewis Dobbin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' Dynel Simeu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 44.
  • 45' David McGoldrick doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 47' with the perfectly-timed delivery and David McGoldrick makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 50' Magnificent from David McGoldrick! That is 60 goals in 366 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Liam Gibson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Jason Knight is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Morecambe FC tonight.
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 66' James Collins adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Harvey White comes on to replace David McGoldrick.
  • 69' Jason Knight doubles the advantage! 5-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 74' Liam Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 74 minute.
  • 75' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Haydon Roberts by Louie Sibley on 75 minute.
  • 80' The whistle greets Daniel Crowley as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Bedeau.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Morecambe FCAshley Hunter on, Adam Mayor off on 85 minutes.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Joshua Austerfield on 87 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Morecambe FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Donald Love.
  • Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Morecambe FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC68% Draw19% Morecambe FC13%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Morecambe FC
32%
Derby County FC or Morecambe FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC52% Draw38% Morecambe FC10%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
10%
3 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 0
5.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 2
2.8%
5 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Morecambe FC covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 22% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.