Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road Stadium.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael George
- Referee Geoff Russell
- Referee Lee Venamore
- Referee Andrew Davies
- Referee Darren Blunden
- Referee Lloyd Wood
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Derby County FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Bristol City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Dec | Fulham FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jan | Barnsley FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Dec | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthew Pearson, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 10' Martyn Waghorn has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 23' Jayden Bogle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 23.
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
- 33' Kazenga Lualua needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
- 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pelly Ruddock made 382 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 48' Luton Town FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 53' USA international Duane Holmes has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Luton Town FC make a change. Matthew Pearson trudges off to be replaced by Donervon Daniels on 60 minutes.
- 63' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Wayne Rooney on 63.
- 67' Goal! Pelly Ruddock scores his 13 goal in 382 matches.
- 68' Kazenga LuaLua makes way for Izzy Brown at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Pelly Ruddock argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 73' The Montserrat Donervon Daniels breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 2-1!
- 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phillip Cocu will be considering his options from the bench.
- 79' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jason Knight is withdrawn and Chris Martin gets his opportunity.
- 84' James Bree has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 355 appearances.
- 85' The Scotland Chris Martin breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 2-2!
- 86' Jayden Bogle makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Derby County FC are in front.
- 88' Max Lowe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 88.
- 90' Andre Wisdom was booked on 90.
- 90' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Harry Cornick departs to be replaced by Luke Berry.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 26
-
25
Kazenga Lualua ↓ Izzy Brown 68'
- 6
- 3
- 16
- 17
- 19
-
14
Harry Cornick ↓ Luke Berry 90'
- 5
- 12
Bench
- 20
-
24
Izzy Brown ↑ 68'
-
33
Donervon Daniels ↑ 60'
- 7
- 36
- 11
-
8
Luke Berry ↑ 90'
Coach
Graeme Jones
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 2
- 37
- 41
- 10
- 9
-
23
Duane Holmes ↓ Jack Marriott 79'
- 25
- 32
-
38
Jason Knight ↓ Chris Martin 79'
Bench
- 21
- 3
- 33
-
19
Chris Martin ↑ 79'
-
14
Jack Marriott ↑ 79'
- 4
- 49
Coach
Phillip Cocu
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Jack Marriott | 1 |
| Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Millenic Alli | 1 |
| Luke Berry | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Graeme Shinnie | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.