Tuesday , 28 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,565 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martyn Waghorn 23' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Cambridge United FC H 0–2 L
05 Aug Carlisle United FC A 1–1 D
07 May Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
29 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw30% Fleetwood Town FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
56%
Derby County FC or Fleetwood Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw54% Fleetwood Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.