Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,565 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martyn Waghorn 23' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Fleetwood Town FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Steven Plane
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Cambridge United FC H 0–2 L
05 Aug Carlisle United FC A 1–1 D
07 May Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
29 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Fleetwood Town FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Ryan Broom has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Martyn Waghorn doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Danny Mayor.
  • 40' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Controversy at the stadium! Martyn Waghorn argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 60' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' Fleetwood Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Junior Quitirna is hanging Danny Mayor on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' James Collins gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Conor Washington and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fleetwood Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' Another change for Fleetwood Town FC made on 68 minute. Ryan Broom leaves to be changed by Promise Omochere.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Carl Johnston.
  • 74' Ireland international Bosun Lawal has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' The Fleetwood Town FC manager makes a substitution. Carl Johnston departs to be replaced by Toto Nsiala.
  • 82' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 83' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jake Rooney is withdrawn and Sonny Bradley gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Eiran Cashin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Junior Quitirna.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw30% Fleetwood Town FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
56%
Derby County FC or Fleetwood Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw54% Fleetwood Town FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.