Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cambridge United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Abbey Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Cambridge United FC 4 games · Avg 1.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Derby County FC H 0–2 L
24 Sep Morecambe FC A 2–1 W
17 Sep Barnsley FC H 0–3 L
13 Sep Cheltenham Town FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Lincoln City FC H 2–0 W
27 Aug Burton Albion FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Fleetwood Town FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Cambridge United FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Bonner might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' The 22-year-old William Osula has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' Tom Barkhuizen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cambridge United FC tonight.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Abbey Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' What a moment for James Collins! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 50' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cambridge United FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. William Osula is hanging Lewis Dobbin on the field on 61 minute.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Paul Digby made 58 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Harvey Knibbs gets the nod from Cambridge United FC. He replaces Jack Lankester and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Cambridge United FC ring the changes. Shilow Tracey has done his job and it is now time for Fejiri Okenabirhie to step up.
  • 77' Craig Forsyth is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Barkhuizen at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shilow Tracey, as he is very good at scoring at Abbey Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 83' James Collins adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' Louie Sibley has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Collins on 84 minute.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 Cambridge United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC27% Draw30% Derby County FC43%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Cambridge United FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Cambridge United FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cambridge United FC18% Draw50% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Cambridge United FC

Handicap Cambridge United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.