Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC St. James Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
3
Exeter City FC 5 games · Avg 3.4 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–4 L
11 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 2–4 L
08 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–0 W
01 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 2–2 D
24 Sep Forest Green Rovers FC A 4–0 W
17 Sep Burton Albion FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Exeter City FC A 4–2 W
08 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
01 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D
17 Sep Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–2 L
13 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
03 Sep Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC30% Draw25% Oxford United FC45%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Oxford United FC
70%
Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC23% Draw39% Oxford United FC38%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 20% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.