Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.
- Cardiff City FC 8 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lee Swabey
- Referee Darren Bond
- Referee Mark Pottage
- Referee Mark Russell
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Jul | Fulham FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Jul | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Jul | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jun | Preston North End FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jul | Brentford FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Jul | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Reading FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Cardiff City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #21 | Position | #22 |
| 7 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 14 |
| -2 | GD | -7 |
| 0.88 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 13% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season
Cardiff City FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Cardiff City FC are 21st (7 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cardiff City FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cardiff City FC
| Jack Moylan | 3 G | 1 A |
| Yousef Salech | 2 G | 1 A |
| Cian Ashford | 2 G | 1 A |
| Rubin Colwill | 1 G | 1 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' It looks surprising Cardiff City FC does not make any changes. Alex Smithies has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' The Canada Junior Hoilett breaks the deadlock on 17 minutes. 1-0!
- 22' Max Lowe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 27' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Jason Knight makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
- 35' Joe Bennett has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 50' Cardiff City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 55' Cardiff City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 59' Against the run of play, Lee Tomlin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' The referee shows Cardiff City FC player a Yellow card on 62.
- 67' Leandro Bacuna is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cardiff City FC tonight.
- 68' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Max Lowe is replaced by Jayden Bogle on 68 minute.
- 70' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Lee Tomlin is withdrawn and Will Vaulks gets his opportunity.
- 75' Craig Forsyth has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 77' Derby County FC make a change. Louie Sibley trudges off to be replaced by Florian Jozefzoon on 77 minutes.
- 78' Another change for Cardiff City FC made on 78 minute. Robert Glatzel leaves to be changed by Daniel Ward.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cardiff City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 88' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Max Bird is replaced by Graeme Shinnie on 88 minute.
- 90' Brad Smith gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and will look to change the dynamic.
- Cardiff City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Cardiff City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
15
Marlon Pack ↓ Callum Paterson 90'
- 7
- 12
- 4
- 3
- 8
- 19
- 33
-
17
Lee Tomlin ↓ Will Vaulks 70'
- 16
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↓ Daniel Ward 78'
Bench
- 11
- 1
- 22
-
13
Callum Paterson ↑ 90'
-
23
Daniel Ward ↑ 78'
- 5
-
6
Will Vaulks ↑ 70'
-
24
Brad Smith ↑ 90'
- 2
Coach
Neil Harris
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 21
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Scott Malone 88'
- 33
-
41
Max Bird ↓ Graeme Shinnie 88'
- 10
- 19
-
25
Max Lowe ↓ Jayden Bogle 68'
- 32
-
38
Jason Knight ↓ Jack Marriott 77'
- 40
Bench
- 12
-
37
Jayden Bogle ↑ 68'
- 17
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 77'
-
14
Jack Marriott ↑ 77'
-
46
Scott Malone ↑ 88'
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↑ 88'
- 48
- 49
Coach
Phillip Cocu
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kieffer Moore | 2 |
| Leandro Bacuna | 2 |
| Kenzo Goudmijn | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
| Lars-Jorgen Salvesen | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Callum Robinson | 1 |
| Junior Hoilett | 1 |
Head to Head
Cardiff City FC Form
2020-07-14
Cardiff City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
2020-07-10
Fulham FC
2–0
Cardiff City FC
L
2020-07-07
Cardiff City FC
2–3
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
2020-07-04
Bristol City FC
0–1
Cardiff City FC
W
2020-06-30
Cardiff City FC
0–0
Charlton Athletic FC
D
2020-06-27
Preston North End FC
1–3
Cardiff City FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2020-07-14
Cardiff City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2020-07-11
Derby County FC
1–3
Brentford FC
L
2020-07-08
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2020-07-04
Derby County FC
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2020-07-01
Preston North End FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2020-06-27
Derby County FC
2–1
Reading FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cardiff City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Cardiff City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
46%
Cardiff City FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC
| Handicap | Cardiff City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.