Sunday , 16 August 2026

Millwall FC vs Aston Villa FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 6 Oct 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Millwall FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
03 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
29 Sep Sheffield United FC H 2–3 L
22 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
19 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L
15 Sep Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Millwall FC A 1–2 L
02 Oct Preston North End FC H 3–3 D
28 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
18 Sep Rotherham United FC H 2–0 W
15 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Millwall FC to score. At the same time, Aston Villa FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' Millwall FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 7' Tammy Abraham puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
  • 12' James Meredith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' Shane Ferguson adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 31' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from John McGinn, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 48' Tom Elliott adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yannick Bolasie made 355 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' Murray Wallace has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • 63' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 66 minute. Ahmed El Mohamady leaves to be changed by Jonathan Kodjia.
  • 69' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. John McGinn has done his job and it is now time for Yannick Bolasie to step up.
  • 71' Yannick Bolasie has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Tom Elliott exits the field as Steve Morison enters on 74.
  • 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 87' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Conor Hourihane by Albert Adomah on 87 minute.
  • 89' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Shane Ferguson is withdrawn and Aiden O'Brien gets his opportunity.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC48% Draw27% Aston Villa FC25%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
52%
Millwall FC or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC33% Draw46% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.