Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Aston Villa FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 6 Oct 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Aston Villa FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Purkiss
  • Referee Paul Hodskinson
  • Referee Geoff Russell
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Head-to-Head

1
1
Millwall FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
03 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
29 Sep Sheffield United FC H 2–3 L
22 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
19 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L
15 Sep Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Millwall FC A 1–2 L
02 Oct Preston North End FC H 3–3 D
28 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
18 Sep Rotherham United FC H 2–0 W
15 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Aston Villa FC has kicked off!
  • 4' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tom Elliott on 4.
  • 7' GOAL! Tammy Abraham scores on 7. Assisted by Conor Hourihane
  • 12' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Murray Wallace made 382 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' Yannick Bolasie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 26' What an equalizer from Shane Ferguson!
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conor Hourihane suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Jack Grealish has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' Tom Elliott puts Millwall FC on the lead.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 355 games and scored 497 goals.
  • 58' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
  • 63' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' Jonathan Kodjia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ahmed El Mohamady on 66 minute.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. John McGinn is replaced by Yannick Bolasie on 69 minute.
  • 71' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 71.
  • 74' Steve Morison is replacing Tom Elliott for the Millwall FC side.
  • 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 87' Albert Adomah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 87 minute.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Aiden O'Brien. He replaces Shane Ferguson on 89 minute.
  • Full Time. Millwall FC beats Aston Villa FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC48% Draw27% Aston Villa FC25%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
52%
Millwall FC or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC33% Draw46% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.