Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sun 21 Nov 2021 · 12:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 3–2 W
06 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
03 Nov Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
30 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
23 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov Derby County FC A 2–3 L
06 Nov Swansea City AFC H 4–0 W
03 Nov Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
30 Oct Reading FC A 2–0 W
23 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
19 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host AFC Bournemouth — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Leif Davis needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 13' Goal! Jason Knight scores his 22 goal in 398 matches.
  • 18' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 19' Jaidon Anthony has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
  • 21' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Sam Baldock is withdrawn and Colin Kazim-Richards gets his opportunity.
  • 22' Another change for Derby County FC made on 22 minute. Sam Baldock leaves to be changed by Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 27' AFC Bournemouth are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' Gary Cahill, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Bournemouth needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Dominic Solanke adds to his 1 season tally! AFC Bournemouth lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 43' AFC Bournemouth have won 462 goals from 347 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Max Bird made 398 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' Philip Billing is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 58' The 24-year-old Morgan Rogers has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Gavin Kilkenny. He replaces Lewis Cook on 61 minute.
  • 62' What composure from Tom Lawrence! The Wales international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 67' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 68' Tom Lawrence doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tom Lawrence makes it 4-2.
  • 74' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 74 minute. Jefferson Lerma leaves to be changed by Morgan Rogers.
  • 75' Time for substitution for AFC Bournemouth. Leif Davis is replaced by Jamal Lowe.
  • 80' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 83' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Richard Stearman is hanging Festy Ebosele on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Bournemouth's shape.
  • Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or AFC Bournemouth 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw26% AFC Bournemouth29%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
55%
Derby County FC or AFC Bournemouth
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC31% Draw45% AFC Bournemouth24%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.