Saturday , 26 September 2026

Cuiaba EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 22 Jul 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 30' Diego Costa
Y 60' Luciano
Marllon 75' Y
Y 78' Luciano
Y 86' Erison
Y 90' Pablo Maia
Y 91' Luciano

Overview

Match Preview

Cuiaba EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
16 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
08 Jul EC Bahia H 1–1 D
02 Jul Santos FC H 3–0 W
27 Jun CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
22 Jun Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul Cuiaba EC A 1–2 L
16 Jul Santos FC H 4–1 W
09 Jul RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
01 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
21 Jun CA Paranaense H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cuiaba EC and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
  • 5' Wellington Rato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Luciano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Cuiaba EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Walter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 377 appearances.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Diego Costa.
  • 35' Cuiaba EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Marcos Paulo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 47' A moment of madness from Jonathan Cafu on 47 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Cuiaba EC will be frustrated.
  • 48' Jonathan Calleri picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cuiaba EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Luciano.
  • 65' It is a cagey affair so far. Cuiaba EC in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
  • 66' Clayson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 67' Luciano gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Nathan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 75' That is a Yellow card for Cuiaba EC. Marllon will be fuming at that decision.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Cuiaba EC team. Jonathan Cafu is replaced by Wellington Silva on 76 minute.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Cuiaba EC — Isidro Pitta on, Deyverson off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Luciano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 78' Isidro Pitta doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 83' Caio Paulista has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Cuiaba EC! Lucas Mineiro comes on to replace Denilson Alves.
  • 86' Erison catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 86.
  • 90' GOAL! Nathan scores on 90. Assisted by Michel Araujo
  • 90' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' Cuiaba EC make a change. Fernando Sobral trudges off to be replaced by Ronald on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for Cuiaba EC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Cuiaba EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cuiaba EC46% Draw29% São Paulo FC25%
Actual: Cuiaba EC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Cuiaba EC or Draw
75%
Draw or São Paulo FC
54%
Cuiaba EC or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cuiaba EC30% Draw51% São Paulo FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Cuiaba EC

Handicap Cuiaba EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.