Wednesday , 12 August 2026

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Everton FC H 2–0 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
06 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
03 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
06 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Aston Villa FC
#13 Position #7
52 Points 65
38 Played 38
14 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 19 / 8 / 11
58 Scored 56
52 Conceded 49
+6 GD +7
1.37 PPG 1.71
37% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Chelsea FC are 13th (52 pts). Aston Villa FC are 7th (65 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC or Aston Villa FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC37% Draw26% Aston Villa FC37%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
63%
Chelsea FC or Aston Villa FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC31% Draw42% Aston Villa FC27%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.