Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 0
Full Time
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SC Recife H 2–0 W
12 May Santos FC A 0–0 D
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Ceará SC A 0–2 L
11 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–4 L
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SC Recife gets underway.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' Lucas Mugni has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
  • 11' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 11.
  • 16' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dalbert Henrique is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
  • 21' Christian Rivera has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 31' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' Antonio Galeano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Igor Carius.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Pedro Raul is replaced by Lele on 46 minute.
  • 51' Ceará SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' A stunning finish from Antonio Galeano — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 63' A tactical swap from SC Recife — Du Queiroz on, ze Lucas off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 71' The whistle greets Pedro Henrique as he departs to be replaced by Guilherme Luiz.
  • 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ceará SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Romulo. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 77 minute.
  • 78' That is a card for SC Recife. Dalbert Henrique will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' Matheus Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio Galeano on 85 minute.
  • 90' Pedro Raul has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Ceará SC and SC Recife (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC54% Draw27% SC Recife19%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Ceará SC or SC Recife
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC34% Draw50% SC Recife16%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.