Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Ceará SC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr São Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
06 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ceara SC is hosting Sao Paulo FC for another epic battle.
  • 4' Pedro Henrique is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 9' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rodrigo Huendra made 384 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' The referee calls foul for Enzo Diaz. He receives a card.
  • 36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' Ceara SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 44' What a strike from Ryan Rodrigues! The score is 1-1.
  • 46' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Willian Machado on 46 minutes.
  • 46' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 46 minute. Ferreira leaves to be changed by Cedric.
  • 51' Ceara SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 53' The referee calls foul for Pedro Henrique. He receives a card.
  • 58' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ceara SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 60' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Lucas Mugni is withdrawn and Matheus Araujo gets his opportunity.
  • 61' The whistle greets Pedro Henrique as he departs to be replaced by Guilherme Luiz.
  • 66' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Igor Vinicius.
  • 73' Fernando Miguel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
  • 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Alisson leaves to be changed by Marcos Antonio.
  • 76' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Matheus Bahia by Nicolas Vichiatto on 80 minute.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cedric.
  • 86' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Fernando Sobral exits the field as Lourenco enters on 86.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Damian Bobadilla.
  • 90' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Luciano trudges off to be replaced by Alan Franco on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or São Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC39% Draw30% São Paulo FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
69%
Draw or São Paulo FC
61%
Ceará SC or São Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC27% Draw50% São Paulo FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.