Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Aylon 59' Y
Y 78' Tiago
Fernandinho 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
10 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Bahia gets underway.
  • 5' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Jean Lucas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ceará SC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Santiago Arias is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
  • 25' Nicolas Acevedo, a Uruguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' Fernando Sobral was booked on 45.
  • 46' Kayky has so much to prove this time. He replaces Michel Araujo on 46 minute.
  • 48' Lourenco adds to his 0 season tally! Ceara SC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 53' Gabriel Xavier is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Willian Jose has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Aylon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Aylon is replaced by Pedro Henrique.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Vinicius Zanocelo comes on to replace Fernando Sobral.
  • 72' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 75' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Willian Jose departs to be replaced by Tiago.
  • 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tiago on 78.
  • 83' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 84' The whistle greets Paulo Baya as he departs to be replaced by Fernandinho.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Fernandinho is booked for Ceara SC — card on 86.
  • 90' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Mateo Sanabria exits the field as Iago Borduchi enters on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC42% Draw30% EC Bahia28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Bahia
58%
Ceará SC or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC29% Draw50% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.