Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Carlisle United FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Bolton Wanderers FC

Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 11,443 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 31' Zac Ashworth

0–2 36' Edmond-Paris Maghoma

Jordan Gibson 71' 1–2

1–3 90+1' Kyle Dempsey

1–4 90+7' Nathanael Ogbeta

Jon Mellish 51' Y

Y 62' Eoin Toal

Y 85' Josh Dacres-Cogley

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Brunton Park.

Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Scott Oldham
Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
Assistant 2 Alex Gray (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
4	Exeter City FC	46	49
5	Port Vale FC	46	42
6	Rotherham United FC	46	41
7	Northampton Town FC	46	35
8	Huddersfield Town AFC	1	3
9	Stockport County FC	1	3
10	Bradford City AFC	1	3
11	Luton Town FC	1	3
12	Cambridge United FC	1	3
13	Mansfield Town FC	1	3
14	Sheffield Wednesday FC	1	3
15	Bromley FC	1	3
16	Oxford United FC	1	1
17	Milton Keynes Dons FC	1	1
18	Stevenage FC	1	1
19	Wycombe Wanderers FC	1	1
20	Blackpool FC	1	1
21	Burton Albion FC	1	1
22	Leicester City FC	1	1
23	Notts County FC	1	1
24	Reading FC	1	0
25	Wigan Athletic FC	1	0
26	Doncaster Rovers FC	1	0
27	Leyton Orient FC	1	0
28	Barnsley FC	1	0
29	Plymouth Argyle FC	1	0
30	Peterborough United FC	1	0
31	AFC Wimbledon	1	0

Head-to-Head

Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Bolton Wanderers FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-27 Carlisle United FC 1–4 Bolton Wanderers FC 2023-10-07 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–3 Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

Carlisle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	1–4	L
16 Jan	Barnsley FC	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	Oxford United FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jan	Exeter City FC	A	1–2	L
01 Jan	Port Vale FC	H	2–1	W
29 Dec	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–2	L

Bolton Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Carlisle United FC	A	4–1	W
23 Jan	Cheltenham Town FC	H	1–0	W
20 Jan	Leyton Orient FC	A	0–1	L
16 Jan	Luton Town FC	H	1–2	L
07 Jan	Luton Town FC	A	0–0	D
01 Jan	Burton Albion FC	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Carlisle United FC to score. At the same time, Bolton Wanderers FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathan Baxter, as he is very good at scoring at Brunton Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' Bolton Wanderers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
20' Josh Dacres-Cogley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Carlisle United FC tonight.
25' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' Nathanael Ogbeta, a England defender, has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
31' The Wales Zac Ashworth breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 0-1!
36' What a strike from Edmond-Paris Maghoma! The score is 0-2.
41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlos Mendes Gomes made 98 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
46' The Carlisle United FC manager makes a substitution. Daniel Butterworth departs to be replaced by Jack Diamond.
51' The referee shows Carlisle United FC player a card on 51.
56' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
62' Eoin Toal is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
71' GOAL! Jordan Gibson fires home to make it 1-2!
72' Josh Vela is replacing Owen Moxon for the Carlisle United FC side.
74' Jon Bodvarsson gets the nod from Bolton Wanderers FC. He replaces Victor Adeboyejo and will look to change the dynamic.
79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
81' The crowd applauds Harrison Neal as he leaves the pitch. Joe Garner steps in for Carlisle United FC.
82' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Edmond-Paris Maghoma exits the field as Aaron Morley enters on 82.
85' Bolton Wanderers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
90' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Kyle Dempsey by Carlos Mendes Gomes on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Bolton Wanderers FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Jon Mellish
35
Luke Armstrong
40
Harry Lewis
6
Paul Huntington
11
Daniel Butterworth ↓ Jack Diamond 46'
5
Sam Lavelle
10
Alfie McCalmont ↓ Jordan Gibson 46'
19
Jack Robinson
4
Owen Moxon ↓ Josh Vela 72'
18
Jack Ellis
33
Harrison Neal ↓ Joe Garner 81'

Bench

27
Jack Diamond ↑ 46'
24
Sean Maguire
36
Josh Vela ↑ 72'
14
Joe Garner ↑ 81'
13
Gabriel Breeze
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 46'
34
Sean Grehan

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

1
Nathan Baxter
8
Josh Sheehan
14
Victor Adeboyejo ↓ Jon Bodvarsson 74'
22
Kyle Dempsey ↓ Carlos Mendes Gomes 90'
10
Dion Charles ↓ Cameron Jerome 74'
18
Eoin Toal
3
Jack Iredale
19
Edmond-Paris Maghoma ↓ Aaron Morley 82'
26
Zac Ashworth ↓ Nathanael Ogbeta 90'
12
Josh Dacres-Cogley
5
Ricardo Santos

Bench

16
Aaron Morley ↑ 82'
41
Luke Matheson
13
Joel Coleman
7
Carlos Mendes Gomes ↑ 90'
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 74'
17
Nathanael Ogbeta ↑ 90'
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 74'

Coach Ian Evatt

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Gibson	4
Kyle Dempsey	1
Edmond-Paris Maghoma	1
Nathanael Ogbeta	1
Zac Ashworth	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.37 Carlisle United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.78 Bolton Wanderers FC xG

I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Carlisle United FC30% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC43%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC

70%

Carlisle United FC or Bolton Wanderers FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Carlisle United FC23% Draw43% Bolton Wanderers FC34%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

6.9%

2 – 1

6.9%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

5.3%

1 – 0

5.1%

2 – 0

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap	Carlisle United FC covers	Push	Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Carlisle United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Carlisle United FC Form

Bolton Wanderers FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Clean Sheet