Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Cardiff City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Yates

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC 2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
07 Feb	Rotherham United FC	A	3–0	W
31 Jan	Burton Albion FC	A	2–2	D
27 Jan	Barnsley FC	H	4–0	W
24 Jan	Stockport County FC	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	Bradford City AFC	A	2–1	W

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	Bradford City AFC	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
27 Jan	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	0–1	L
24 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	0–1	L
17 Jan	Lincoln City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		Luton Town FC
#2	Position	#7
91	Points	74
46	Played	46
27 / 10 / 9	W / D / L	21 / 11 / 14
90	Scored	68
50	Conceded	56
+40	GD	+12
1.98	PPG	1.61
59%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Luton Town FC kicks off things out of here…
The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sean Morrison	2
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Kieffer Moore	1
Elijah Adebayo	1
Jacob Brown	1
Sheyi Ojo	1
Calum Chambers	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W 2026-02-07 Rotherham United FC 0–3 Cardiff City FC W 2026-01-31 Burton Albion FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2026-01-27 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Barnsley FC W 2026-01-24 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stockport County FC D 2026-01-17 Bradford City AFC 1–2 Cardiff City FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC L 2026-02-07 Luton Town FC 2–1 Bradford City AFC W 2026-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Blackpool FC W 2026-01-27 Huddersfield Town AFC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-24 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-17 Luton Town FC 2–2 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC59% Draw23% Luton Town FC18%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Luton Town FC

41%

Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC43% Draw43% Luton Town FC14%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 0

10.1%

1 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

9.6%

0 – 0

6.8%

3 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 1

4.2%

4 – 0

3.3%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	23%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.