Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Cardiff City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 1 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Yates

3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
4	Exeter City FC	46	49
5	Port Vale FC	46	42
6	Rotherham United FC	46	41
7	Northampton Town FC	46	35
8	Huddersfield Town AFC	1	3
9	Stockport County FC	1	3
10	Bradford City AFC	1	3
11	Luton Town FC	1	3
12	Cambridge United FC	1	3
13	Mansfield Town FC	1	3
14	Sheffield Wednesday FC	1	3
15	Bromley FC	1	3
16	Oxford United FC	1	1
17	Milton Keynes Dons FC	1	1
18	Stevenage FC	1	1
19	Wycombe Wanderers FC	1	1
20	Blackpool FC	1	1
21	Burton Albion FC	1	1
22	Leicester City FC	1	1
23	Notts County FC	1	1
24	Reading FC	1	0
25	Wigan Athletic FC	1	0
26	Doncaster Rovers FC	1	0
27	Leyton Orient FC	1	0
28	Barnsley FC	1	0
29	Plymouth Argyle FC	1	0
30	Peterborough United FC	1	0
31	AFC Wimbledon	1	0

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC 2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
07 Feb	Rotherham United FC	A	3–0	W
31 Jan	Burton Albion FC	A	2–2	D
27 Jan	Barnsley FC	H	4–0	W
24 Jan	Stockport County FC	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	Bradford City AFC	A	2–1	W

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	Bradford City AFC	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
27 Jan	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	0–1	L
24 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	0–1	L
17 Jan	Lincoln City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		Luton Town FC
#2	Position	#11
91	Points	3
46	Played	1
27 / 10 / 9	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 0
90	Scored	4
50	Conceded	3
+40	GD	+1
1.98	PPG	3.00
59%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts). Luton Town FC are 11th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/2

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Sean Morrison	2
Thelo Aasgaard	1
Will Vaulks	1
Rubin Colwill	1
Isaac Vassell	1
Aden Flint	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W 2026-02-07 Rotherham United FC 0–3 Cardiff City FC W 2026-01-31 Burton Albion FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2026-01-27 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Barnsley FC W 2026-01-24 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stockport County FC D 2026-01-17 Bradford City AFC 1–2 Cardiff City FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC L 2026-02-07 Luton Town FC 2–1 Bradford City AFC W 2026-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Blackpool FC W 2026-01-27 Huddersfield Town AFC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-24 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-17 Luton Town FC 2–2 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.52 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC63% Draw17% Luton Town FC20%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 5.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	97%	3%
± 2.5	90%	10%
± 3.5	78%	22%
± 4.5	62%	38%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Luton Town FC

37%

Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC52% Draw29% Luton Town FC19%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

5.7%

2 – 1

5.2%

4 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4 – 2

3 – 3

3.7%

5 – 1

3.6%

5 – 2

3.5%

1 – 1

3.5%

4 – 3

3.3%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	31%	—	69%
-2	31%	17%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	17%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	10%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.