Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Cardiff City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 14 games · 24 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Yates

6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	14	26
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Plymouth Argyle FC	14	23
6	Reading FC	14	22
7	Bradford City AFC	13	22
8	Cambridge United FC	14	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday FC	13	20
10	Leicester City FC	13	19
11	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons FC	13	18
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	14	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	Notts County FC	12	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	13
19	Blackpool FC	12	12
20	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
21	Wigan Athletic FC	14	11
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	12	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC 2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
07 Feb	Rotherham United FC	A	3–0	W
31 Jan	Burton Albion FC	A	2–2	D
27 Jan	Barnsley FC	H	4–0	W
24 Jan	Stockport County FC	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	Bradford City AFC	A	2–1	W

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	Bradford City AFC	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
27 Jan	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	0–1	L
24 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	0–1	L
17 Jan	Lincoln City FC	H	2–2	D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC

0-15

3/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

5/4

61-75

4/2

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC

Nahki Wells	7 G	2 A
Jamie Donley	4 G	3 A
Callum Marshall	4 G
Kasey Palmer	3 G	4 A
Jake Richards	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Cardiff City FC have kicked off against Luton Town FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Full Time. Cardiff City FC beats Luton Town FC

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Sean Morrison	2
Rubin Colwill	1
Isaac Vassell	1
Aden Flint	1
Harry Cornick	1
Matthew Pearson	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W 2026-02-07 Rotherham United FC 0–3 Cardiff City FC W 2026-01-31 Burton Albion FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2026-01-27 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Barnsley FC W 2026-01-24 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stockport County FC D 2026-01-17 Bradford City AFC 1–2 Cardiff City FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC L 2026-02-07 Luton Town FC 2–1 Bradford City AFC W 2026-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Blackpool FC W 2026-01-27 Huddersfield Town AFC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-24 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-17 Luton Town FC 2–2 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.6 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC54% Draw26% Luton Town FC20%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Luton Town FC

46%

Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cardiff City FC36% Draw48% Luton Town FC16%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

12%

0 – 0

10.1%

2 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.4%

3 – 0

5.3%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	24%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.