Rio Ave FC vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rio Ave FC vs CD Tondela — Primeira Liga .
- Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2025/26)
- CD Tondela 34 games · 28 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | CD Tondela | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FC Famalicão | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | FC Porto | H | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Moreirense FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Rio Ave FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | CD Santa Clara | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | FC Alverca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | GD Estoril Praia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Rio Ave FC | CD Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #17 |
| 36 | Points | 28 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 8 / 12 / 14 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 18 |
| 35 | Scored | 27 |
| 57 | Conceded | 55 |
| -22 | GD | -28 |
| 1.06 | PPG | 0.82 |
| 24% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
Rio Ave FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season
CD Tondela this season
Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Rio Ave FC kicks off things out of here…
- Full Time. Rio Ave FC beats CD Tondela
Lineups
Rio Ave FC Lineups
CD Tondela Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Denilson | 2 |
| Gelson Dala | 2 |
| Galeno | 2 |
| Bruno Moreira | 2 |
| Pite | 1 |
| Jonathan Rubio | 1 |
| Tarantini | 1 |
| Sergio Pena | 1 |
Head to Head
Rio Ave FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73
Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
CD Tondela xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Rio Ave FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Rio Ave FC or Draw
78%
Draw or CD Tondela
47%
Rio Ave FC or CD Tondela
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rio Ave FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC
| Handicap | Rio Ave FC covers | Push | CD Tondela covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

