Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rio Ave FC vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 0
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rio Ave FC vs CD TondelaPrimeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct CD Tondela H 3–0 W
28 Sep FC Famalicão A 0–0 D
23 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–1 D
19 Sep FC Porto H 0–3 L
13 Sep Moreirense FC A 1–3 L
31 Aug Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Rio Ave FC A 0–3 L
27 Sep CD Santa Clara A 2–1 W
21 Sep CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–0 D
12 Sep FC Alverca A 0–1 L
31 Aug GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
23 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Rio Ave FC CD Tondela
#12 Position #17
36 Points 28
34 Played 34
8 / 12 / 14 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 18
35 Scored 27
57 Conceded 55
-22 GD -28
1.06 PPG 0.82
24% Win % 18%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season

Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/3
46-60
3/
61-75
/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC53% Draw25% CD Tondela22%
Actual: Rio Ave FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Rio Ave FC or Draw
78%
Draw or CD Tondela
47%
Rio Ave FC or CD Tondela
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rio Ave FC37% Draw45% CD Tondela18%
Actual: Rio Ave FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC

Handicap Rio Ave FC covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
35%
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.