CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- GD Estoril Praia 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | CD Santa Clara | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | CS Marítimo | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | Moreirense FC | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Académico de Viseu FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Famalicão | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | GD Estoril Praia | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Alverca | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória SC | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | GD Estoril Praia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Feb | SC Farense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | FC Arouca | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Feb | Boavista FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | Vitória SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | CD Santa Clara | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Jan | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #13 |
| 1 | Points | 1 |
| 1 | Played | 1 |
| 0 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 1 / 0 |
| 2 | Scored | 1 |
| 2 | Conceded | 1 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional are 14th (1 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 13th (1 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio da Madeira. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia.
- 4' Andre puts GD Estoril Praia on the lead.
- 9' GD Estoril Praia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 14' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 19' Xeka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Paulinho Boia was booked on 25.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past GD Estoril Praia's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 33' Jose Gomes makes way for Arvin Appiah at the 33 minute mark. A tactical switch from CD Nacional.
- 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' It’s a booking for GD Estoril Praia player. Felix Bacher gets a card.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Jordan Holsgrove picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Ruben Macedo comes on to replace Paulinho Boia.
- 49' Magnificent from Dudu! That is 3 goals in 389 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' What a moment for Daniel Penha! That strike on 52 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' Another substitution for GD Estoril Praia to replace Andre by Rafik Guitane on 55 minute.
- 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' A change in the GD Estoril Praia ranks — Yanis Begraoui exits the field as Alejandro Marques enters on 63.
- 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 71' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Andre Sousa comes on to replace Daniel Penha.
- 72' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Dudu exits the field as Joao Aurelio enters on 72.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. GD Estoril Praia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 81' The referee has no hesitation. Isaac Aguiar is booked for CD Nacional — card on 81.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gustavo Garcia on 83.
- 85' A tactical swap from GD Estoril Praia — Goncalo Costa on, Fabricio Garcia off on 85 minutes.
- 90' A moment of madness from Vinicius Zanocelo on 90 minutes earns him a card. GD Estoril Praia will be frustrated.
- 90' Leo Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ulisses at the 90 minute mark.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Joao Aurelio 72'
- 37
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Andre Sousa 71'
- 10
- 22
-
98
Paulinho Boia ↓ Ruben Macedo 46'
- 38
- 23
- 27
-
4
Ulisses ↓ Leo Santos 90'
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Arvin Appiah 33'
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 33'
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 72'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 71'
- 89
- 8
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 46'
- 1
- 88
Coach
Tiago Margarido
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 12
-
88
Xeka ↓ Vinicius Zanocelo 63'
- 14
- 27
- 24
- 25
- 23
- 10
- 20
-
17
Fabricio Garcia ↓ Goncalo Costa 85'
-
19
Andre ↓ Rafik Guitane 55'
Bench
- 5
-
99
Rafik Guitane ↑ 55'
- 1
-
9
Alejandro Marques ↑ 63'
-
7
Vinicius Zanocelo ↑ 63'
-
18
Goncalo Costa ↑ 85'
- 92
- 22
- 91
Coach
Ian Cathro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Daniel Penha | 1 |
| Felix Bacher | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia 73% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
63%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
63%
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | GD Estoril Praia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

