CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2024-25

CD Nacional

2 – 2

Full Time

GD Estoril Praia

Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 17:00 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,784 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Andre

Dudu pen 45+4' 1–1

Daniel Penha 52' 2–1

2–2 90+4' Felix Bacher

Paulinho Boia 25' Y

Y 39' Felix Bacher

Y 45' Jordan Holsgrove

Isaac Aguiar 81' Y

Gustavo Garcia 83' Y

Y 90' Vinicius Zanocelo

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
GD Estoril Praia 7 games · 2 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	21
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	7	16
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	15
4	CD Santa Clara	7	15
5	FC Arouca	7	11
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	6	11
7	Académico de Viseu FC	7	11
8	CF Estrela da Amadora	7	10
9	Moreirense FC	7	8
10	Gil Vicente FC	6	8
11	CS Marítimo	7	8
12	FC Alverca	7	8
13	FC Famalicão	7	7
14	Vitória SC	7	5
15	CD Nacional	7	4
16	Rio Ave FC	7	4
17	Casa Pia AC	7	4
18	GD Estoril Praia	7	2

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 5 games · Avg 2.0 goals GD Estoril Praia

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-15 CD Nacional 2–2 GD Estoril Praia 2024-09-15 GD Estoril Praia 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Feb	GD Estoril Praia	H	2–2	D
09 Feb	SC Farense	A	2–0	W
01 Feb	FC Arouca	H	1–2	L
25 Jan	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–2	L
19 Jan	AVS	H	3–1	W
12 Jan	FC Porto	H	2–0	W

GD Estoril Praia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Feb	CD Nacional	A	2–2	D
09 Feb	Boavista FC	H	2–1	W
01 Feb	Gil Vicente FC	A	2–1	W
26 Jan	Vitória SC	H	1–0	W
18 Jan	CD Santa Clara	A	3–2	W
05 Jan	CF Estrela da Amadora	A	4–2	W

Season Stats

CD Nacional		GD Estoril Praia
#15	Position	#18
4	Points	2
7	Played	7
1 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	0 / 2 / 5
7	Scored	3
15	Conceded	10
-8	GD	-7
0.57	PPG	0.29
14%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

17% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/6

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

GD Estoril Praia

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/2

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional

Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G
Miguel Baeza	1 G
Ze Vitor	1 G

GD Estoril Praia

Yanis Begraoui

2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia has kicked off!
4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andre makes it 0-1.
9' Joao Carvalho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering GD Estoril Praia that had 176 games and scored 190 goals.
24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 25.
30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ian Cathro might look to freshen things up shortly.
33' The crowd applauds Jose Gomes as he leaves the pitch. Arvin Appiah steps in for CD Nacional.
38' The travelling GD Estoril Praia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
39' Felix Bacher was booked on 39.
44' GD Estoril Praia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
45' GD Estoril Praia player sees a card in front of him.
46' Ruben Macedo gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Paulinho Boia and will look to change the dynamic.
49' Goal! Dudu scores his 3 goal in 393 matches.
52' A goal from the Brazil international Daniel Penha! He fires home on 52 to make it 2-1!
55' Rafik Guitane is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre at the 55 minute mark.
60' CD Nacional looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Leo Santos scoring 1 goals.
63' It is a substitution in GD Estoril Praia team. Yanis Begraoui is replaced by Alejandro Marques on 63 minute.
68' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined GD Estoril Praia backline.
71' Daniel Penha makes way for Andre Sousa at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from CD Nacional.
72' Joao Aurelio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dudu at the 72 minute mark.
77' The 27-year-old Leo Santos has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
81' A moment of madness from Isaac Aguiar on 81 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
83' It’s gonna be a card for Gustavo Garcia.
85' Goncalo Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fabricio Garcia at the 85 minute mark.
90' It’s a booking for GD Estoril Praia player. Vinicius Zanocelo gets a card.
90' Leo Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ulisses on 90 minute.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 33'
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 72'
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 71'
89
Dyego Sousa
8
Bruno Costa
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 46'
1
Rui Encarnacao
88
Matheus Dias

Coach Tiago Margarido

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

12
Joao Carvalho
88
Xeka ↓ Vinicius Zanocelo 63'
14
Yanis Begraoui ↓ Alejandro Marques 63'
27
Joel Robles
24
Pedro Amaral
25
Felix Bacher
23
Pedro Alvaro
10
Jordan Holsgrove
20
Wagner Pina
17
Fabricio Garcia ↓ Goncalo Costa 85'
19
Andre ↓ Rafik Guitane 55'

Bench

Coach Ian Cathro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dudu	1
Daniel Penha	1
Felix Bacher	1
Andre	1
Leo Santos	1
Ze Vitor	1
Joao Carvalho	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.39 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 GD Estoril Praia xG

I would bet for: CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional38% Draw29% GD Estoril Praia33%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

67%

Draw or GD Estoril Praia

62%

CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional28% Draw47% GD Estoril Praia25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

9.1%

1 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

8.3%

0 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 0

6.6%

0 – 2

5.5%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

3.8%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 0

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	20%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

GD Estoril Praia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Clean Sheet