CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2024-25

CD Nacional

2 – 2

Full Time

GD Estoril Praia

Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 17:00 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,784 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Andre

Dudu pen 45+4' 1–1

Daniel Penha 52' 2–1

2–2 90+4' Felix Bacher

Paulinho Boia 25' Y

Y 39' Felix Bacher

Y 45' Jordan Holsgrove

Isaac Aguiar 81' Y

Gustavo Garcia 83' Y

Y 90' Vinicius Zanocelo

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
GD Estoril Praia 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	82
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	34	80
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	34	59
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	34	50
7	Moreirense FC	34	43
8	FC Arouca	34	42
9	Vitória SC	34	42
10	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
11	FC Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave FC	34	36
13	CD Santa Clara	34	36
14	CD Nacional	34	34
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	34	30
16	Casa Pia AC	34	30
17	CD Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals GD Estoril Praia

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-15 CD Nacional 2–2 GD Estoril Praia 2024-09-15 GD Estoril Praia 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Feb	GD Estoril Praia	H	2–2	D
09 Feb	SC Farense	A	2–0	W
01 Feb	FC Arouca	H	1–2	L
25 Jan	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–2	L
19 Jan	AVS	H	3–1	W
12 Jan	FC Porto	H	2–0	W

GD Estoril Praia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Feb	CD Nacional	A	2–2	D
09 Feb	Boavista FC	H	2–1	W
01 Feb	Gil Vicente FC	A	2–1	W
26 Jan	Vitória SC	H	1–0	W
18 Jan	CD Santa Clara	A	3–2	W
05 Jan	CF Estrela da Amadora	A	4–2	W

Season Stats

CD Nacional		GD Estoril Praia
#14	Position	#10
34	Points	39
34	Played	34
9 / 7 / 18	W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15
37	Scored	54
45	Conceded	57
-8	GD	-3
1.00	PPG	1.15
26%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

15% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

3/1

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

GD Estoril Praia

0-15

1/6

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. GD Estoril Praia kicks off things out of here…
4' Andre adds to his 1 season tally! GD Estoril Praia lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
9' The home supporters are growing impatient. CD Nacional must find a spark to ignite this game.
14' Jordan Holsgrove is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CD Nacional so far.
19' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
25' It’s gonna be a card for Paulinho Boia.
30' CD Nacional started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
33' The crowd applauds Jose Gomes as he leaves the pitch. Arvin Appiah steps in for CD Nacional.
38' CD Nacional currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
39' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Felix Bacher on 39 minutes.
44' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordan Holsgrove on 45.
46' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Paulinho Boia by Ruben Macedo on 46 minute.
49' Goal! Dudu scores his 3 goal in 386 matches.
52' Goal! Daniel Penha scores his 14 goal in 473 matches.
55' The supporters are chanting for Rafik Guitane. He replaces Andre on 55 minute.
60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
63' The GD Estoril Praia manager makes a substitution. Yanis Begraoui departs to be replaced by Alejandro Marques.
68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafik Guitane made 422 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
71' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Daniel Penha departs to be replaced by Andre Sousa.
72' CD Nacional ring the changes. Dudu has done his job and it is now time for Joao Aurelio to step up.
77' It looks surprising GD Estoril Praia does not make any changes. Isaac Aguiar has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
81' A moment of madness from Isaac Aguiar on 81 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
83' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Gustavo Garcia gets a card.
85' The crowd applauds Fabricio Garcia as he leaves the pitch. Goncalo Costa steps in for GD Estoril Praia.
90' Poor challenge from Vinicius Zanocelo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Ulisses is withdrawn and Leo Santos gets his opportunity.
The points are shared — CD Nacional 2-2 GD Estoril Praia. Honours even.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 33'
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 72'
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 71'
89
Dyego Sousa
8
Bruno Costa
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 46'
1
Rui Encarnacao
88
Matheus Dias

Coach Tiago Margarido

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

12
Joao Carvalho
88
Xeka ↓ Vinicius Zanocelo 63'
14
Yanis Begraoui ↓ Alejandro Marques 63'
27
Joel Robles
24
Pedro Amaral
25
Felix Bacher
23
Pedro Alvaro
10
Jordan Holsgrove
20
Wagner Pina
17
Fabricio Garcia ↓ Goncalo Costa 85'
19
Andre ↓ Rafik Guitane 55'

Bench

Coach Ian Cathro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dudu	1
Daniel Penha	1
Felix Bacher	1
Andre	1
Joao Carvalho	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.57 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 GD Estoril Praia xG

I would bet for: CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia 73% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional35% Draw27% GD Estoril Praia38%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.26

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

62%

Draw or GD Estoril Praia

65%

CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional27% Draw42% GD Estoril Praia31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.7%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 2

5.5%

0 – 0

5.4%

1 – 0

5.3%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.7%

3 – 1

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	19%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

GD Estoril Praia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Clean Sheet