CD Nacional vs CD Santa Clara, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

3 – 3

Full Time

CD Santa Clara

Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CD Santa Clara — Primeira Liga .

CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
CD Santa Clara 11 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Fabio Costa

3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	33
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	11	28
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	11	24
4	CD Santa Clara	11	21
5	FC Arouca	11	20
6	Académico de Viseu FC	11	20
7	Gil Vicente FC	11	18
8	Sporting Clube de Braga	11	17
9	Moreirense FC	11	14
10	FC Famalicão	11	13
11	FC Alverca	11	12
12	CF Estrela da Amadora	11	10
13	CD Nacional	11	10
14	Vitória SC	11	9
15	CS Marítimo	10	8
16	Casa Pia AC	11	8
17	Rio Ave FC	11	7
18	GD Estoril Praia	10	2

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 9 games · Avg 3.3 goals CD Santa Clara

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara 2025-03-30 CD Santa Clara 1–0 CD Nacional 2024-11-04 CD Nacional 2–0 CD Santa Clara 2021-04-11 CD Santa Clara 5–1 CD Nacional 2020-12-06 CD Nacional 1–3 CD Santa Clara

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	CD Santa Clara	H	3–3	D
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	FC Alverca	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	1–2	L

CD Santa Clara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	CD Nacional	A	3–3	D
04 Jan	FC Porto	H	0–1	L
21 Dec	FC Arouca	H	0–0	D
15 Dec	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	0–1	L
06 Dec	Casa Pia AC	H	1–0	W
30 Nov	Rio Ave FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

CD Nacional		CD Santa Clara
#13	Position	#4
10	Points	21
11	Played	11
3 / 1 / 7	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 2
11	Scored	16
19	Conceded	8
-8	GD	+8
0.91	PPG	1.91
27%	Win %	55%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

55% Clean Sheets
CD Santa Clara this season

CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). CD Santa Clara are 4th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/7

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CD Santa Clara

0-15

2/–

16-30

4/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/3

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional

Matchoi Djalo	2 G
Miguel Baeza	2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya	2 G
Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G

CD Santa Clara

Goncalo Paciencia	5 G	1 A
Vinicius	2 G	1 A
Tiago Ribeiro	2 G
Luis Fernando	2 G
Brenner	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — CD Nacional 3-3 CD Santa Clara.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

CD Santa Clara Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rui Costa	2
Carlos	2
Goncalo Paciencia	2
Osamah Rashid	2
Mikel Villanueva	1
Fernando	1
Ukra	1
Denis Pineda	1

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara D 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-11-29 CD Nacional 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L

CD Santa Clara Form

2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara D 2026-01-04 CD Santa Clara 0–1 FC Porto L 2025-12-21 CD Santa Clara 0–0 FC Arouca D 2025-12-15 Sporting Clube de Braga 1–0 CD Santa Clara L 2025-12-06 CD Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia AC W 2025-11-30 Rio Ave FC 1–1 CD Santa Clara D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.32 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.01 CD Santa Clara xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional29% Draw25% CD Santa Clara46%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

54%

Draw or CD Santa Clara

71%

CD Nacional or CD Santa Clara

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional20% Draw41% CD Santa Clara39%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

10.4%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.2%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 3

6.1%

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

0 – 0

5.1%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 3

4.1%

1 – 0

4.1%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	CD Santa Clara covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	21%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

CD Santa Clara keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.