Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 4,928 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Alfons Sampsted
0–2 45+2' Jay Stansfield
Fabio Tavares 90+4' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Burton Albion FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
12 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
05 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–3 L
01 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
18 Apr Crawley Town FC H 0–0 D
08 Apr Peterborough United FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr Barnsley FC H 6–2 W
01 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC30% Draw28% Birmingham City FC42%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
70%
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC23% Draw47% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.