Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Barnsley FC 1 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Purkiss
- Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
- Assistant 2 Graeme Fyvie
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Barnsley FC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 01 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Northampton Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Stevenage FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Lincoln City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Birmingham City FC | A | 2–6 | L |
| 01 Apr | Exeter City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Cambridge United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Mansfield Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Blackpool FC | H | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Barnsley FC this season
Barnsley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Barnsley FC gets underway.
- 3' Mael de Gevigney has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 3.
- 8' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Bland. He replaces Max Watters on 8 minute.
- 13' Over 13 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 18' The 25-year-old Luca Connell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Davies might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' GOAL! Jay Stansfield scores on 33.
- 35' GOAL! Davis Keillor-Dunn scores on 35. Assisted by Conor McCarthy
- 37' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Willum Thor Willumsson is replaced by Alfie May.
- 42' It’s high time Conor Hourihane made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 47' Magnificent from Alfie May! That is 99 goals in 235 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Christoph Klarer.
- 55' Alfie May has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
- 59' Stephen Humphrys makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Barnsley FC are in front.
- 64' Seung-Ho Paik is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
- 67' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Keshi Anderson is withdrawn and Luke Harris gets his opportunity.
- 72' What a moment for Luke Harris! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Fabio Jalo. He replaces Adam Phillips on 72 minute.
- 76' Jonathan Bland picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 383 games and scored 417 goals.
- 82' GOAL! Kieran Dowell scores on 82. Assisted by Alfie May
- 86' The crowd applauds Stephen Humphrys as he leaves the pitch. Dexter Lembikisa steps in for Barnsley FC.
- 87' A change in the Barnsley FC ranks — Luca Connell exits the field as Kelechi Nwakali enters on 87.
- 89' GOAL! Lukas Jutkiewicz scores on 89.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 6-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 25
- 21
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↓ Luke Harris 67'
- 24
- 20
- 28
-
2
Ethan Laird ↓ Alfons Sampsted 67'
- 4
- 18
- 13
Bench
- 31
- 10
- 45
-
9
Alfie May ↑ 37'
-
23
Alfons Sampsted ↑ 67'
- 12
-
26
Luke Harris ↑ 67'
Coach
Chris Davies
Barnsley FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 44
- 21
-
8
Adam Phillips ↓ Fabio Jalo 72'
-
7
Corey O'Keeffe ↓ Jonathan Lewis 86'
-
48
Luca Connell ↓ Kelechi Nwakali 87'
- 36
- 40
- 3
- 6
- 51
Bench
-
50
Kelechi Nwakali ↑ 87'
-
14
Jonathan Lewis ↑ 86'
-
11
Fabio Jalo ↑ 72'
-
20
Dexter Lembikisa ↑ 86'
-
30
Jonathan Bland ↑ 8'
- 27
- 29
Coach
Conor Hourihane
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 4 |
| Jay Stansfield | 3 |
| Scott Hogan | 3 |
| Alfie May | 2 |
| Callum Styles | 2 |
| Daryl Dike | 1 |
| Onel Hernandez | 1 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-04-05
Birmingham City FC
6–2
Barnsley FC
W
2025-04-01
Bristol Rovers FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-03-29
Birmingham City FC
4–1
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2025-03-15
Northampton Town FC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2025-03-11
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Stevenage FC
W
2025-03-08
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Lincoln City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Barnsley FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Birmingham City FC to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Barnsley FC
38%
Birmingham City FC or Barnsley FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–2 not predicted6 – 2Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Barnsley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 21% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Barnsley FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

