Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,018 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Stansfield pen 33' 1–0
1–1 35' Davis Keillor-Dunn
Alfie May 47' 2–1
Alfie May 55' 3–1
3–2 59' Stephen Humphrys
Luke Harris 72' 4–2
Kieran Dowell 82' 5–2
Lukas Jutkiewicz 89' 6–2

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FCLeague One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Purkiss
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
  • Assistant 2 Graeme Fyvie

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Barnsley FC H 6–2 W
01 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Northampton Town FC A 1–1 D
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Birmingham City FC A 2–6 L
01 Apr Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
22 Mar Cambridge United FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Blackpool FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at St Andrew's Ground. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' Barnsley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 3.
  • 8' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Bland. He replaces Max Watters on 8 minute.
  • 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' Corey O'Keeffe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 33' What a strike from Jay Stansfield! The score is 1-0.
  • 35' GOAL! Davis Keillor-Dunn scores on 35. Assisted by Conor McCarthy
  • 37' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Willum Thor Willumsson departs to be replaced by Alfie May.
  • 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 47' GOAL! Alfie May scores on 47.
  • 52' Barnsley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Christoph Klarer.
  • 55' Alfie May with the second goal in the match!
  • 59' What a strike from Stephen Humphrys! The score is 3-2.
  • 64' The travelling Barnsley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 67' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Keshi Anderson departs to be replaced by Luke Harris.
  • 72' What a strike from Luke Harris! The score is 4-2.
  • 72' Another substitution for Barnsley FC to replace Adam Phillips by Fabio Jalo on 72 minute.
  • 76' Jonathan Bland is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 81' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 82' What a strike from Kieran Dowell! The score is 5-2.
  • 86' Dexter Lembikisa is replacing Stephen Humphrys for the Barnsley FC side.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Kelechi Nwakali. He replaces Luca Connell on 87 minute.
  • 89' Goal! Lukas Jutkiewicz scores his 57 goal in 383 matches.
  • Another three points for Birmingham City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Barnsley FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Birmingham City FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC62% Draw21% Barnsley FC17%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Barnsley FC
38%
Birmingham City FC or Barnsley FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC44% Draw39% Barnsley FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Barnsley FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Barnsley FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.