Sunday , 16 August 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,018 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Stansfield pen 33' 1–0
1–1 35' Davis Keillor-Dunn
Alfie May 47' 2–1
Alfie May 55' 3–1
3–2 59' Stephen Humphrys
Luke Harris 72' 4–2
Kieran Dowell 82' 5–2
Lukas Jutkiewicz 89' 6–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Barnsley FC H 6–2 W
01 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Northampton Town FC A 1–1 D
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Birmingham City FC A 2–6 L
01 Apr Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
22 Mar Cambridge United FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Blackpool FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Barnsley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Barnsley FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Birmingham City FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC62% Draw21% Barnsley FC17%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Barnsley FC
38%
Birmingham City FC or Barnsley FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC44% Draw39% Barnsley FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Barnsley FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Barnsley FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.