Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,018 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Stansfield pen 33' 1–0
1–1 35' Davis Keillor-Dunn
Alfie May 47' 2–1
Alfie May 55' 3–1
3–2 59' Stephen Humphrys
Luke Harris 72' 4–2
Kieran Dowell 82' 5–2
Lukas Jutkiewicz 89' 6–2

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Barnsley FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Purkiss
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
  • Assistant 2 Graeme Fyvie

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Barnsley FC H 6–2 W
01 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Northampton Town FC A 1–1 D
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Birmingham City FC A 2–6 L
01 Apr Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
22 Mar Cambridge United FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Blackpool FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Barnsley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Barnsley FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Barnsley FC
Cameron McGeehan 3 G
Reyes Cleary 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Barnsley FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Birmingham City FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC62% Draw21% Barnsley FC17%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Barnsley FC
38%
Birmingham City FC or Barnsley FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC44% Draw39% Barnsley FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Barnsley FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 21% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Barnsley FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.