Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
- Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
- Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading FC | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 13 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 14 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool FC | 12 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic FC | 14 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 12 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Stockport County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Crawley Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Apr | Peterborough United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Barnsley FC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 01 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Pirelli Stadium that hosts another battle between Burton Albion FC and Birmingham City FC.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Udoka Malife suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' Birmingham City FC have won 433 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Rumarn Burrell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alfons Sampsted makes it 0-1.
- 47' What composure from Jay Stansfield! The England international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 52' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Keshi Anderson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Davies might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 66' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Taylor Gardner-Hickman is withdrawn and Keshi Anderson gets his opportunity.
- 67' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Seung-Ho Paik is hanging Marc Leonard on the field on 67 minute.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Finn Delap. He replaces Udoka Malife on 71 minute.
- 76' Anthony Forde is replacing JJ McKiernan for the Burton Albion FC side.
- 77' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Julian Larsson by Fabio Tavares on 77 minute.
- 82' JJ McKiernan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Birmingham City FC so far.
- 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Finn Delap.
- 84' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Bennett is hanging Rumarn Burrell on the field on 84 minute.
- 89' Keshi Anderson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christoph Klarer on 90.
- 90' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Kieran Dowell departs to be replaced by Luke Harris.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Burton Albion FC 1-2 Birmingham City FC.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
18
Rumarn Burrell ↓ Mason Bennett 84'
-
2
Udoka Malife ↓ Finn Delap 71'
- 36
- 17
- 3
- 33
-
24
JJ McKiernan ↓ Anthony Forde 76'
- 19
-
22
Julian Larsson ↓ Fabio Tavares 77'
Bench
-
32
Mason Bennett ↑ 84'
-
44
Anthony Forde ↑ 76'
-
23
Fabio Tavares ↑ 77'
- 13
- 7
-
26
Finn Delap ↑ 71'
-
10
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 76'
Coach
Gary Bowyer
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
30
Kieran Dowell ↓ Luke Harris 90'
- 31
- 21
- 24
-
23
Alfons Sampsted ↓ Ethan Laird 77'
- 20
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Alfie May 66'
- 4
- 19
-
12
Marc Leonard ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 67'
- 18
Bench
- 25
- 45
-
9
Alfie May ↑ 66'
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↑ 66'
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 77'
-
26
Luke Harris ↑ 90'
-
13
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 67'
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Stansfield | 2 |
| Alfons Sampsted | 1 |
| Fabio Tavares | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2025-04-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-04-18
Exeter City FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
2025-04-12
Burton Albion FC
3–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2025-04-05
Wrexham AFC
3–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2025-04-01
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-03-29
Stockport County FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-04-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-18
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Crawley Town FC
D
2025-04-08
Peterborough United FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-05
Birmingham City FC
6–2
Barnsley FC
W
2025-04-01
Bristol Rovers FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-03-29
Birmingham City FC
4–1
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
70%
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Birmingham City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

