Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 4,928 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Alfons Sampsted
0–2 45+2' Jay Stansfield
Fabio Tavares 90+4' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Burton Albion FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
12 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
05 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–3 L
01 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
18 Apr Crawley Town FC H 0–0 D
08 Apr Peterborough United FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr Barnsley FC H 6–2 W
01 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burton Albion FC and Birmingham City FC is underway.
  • 5' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Seung-Ho Paik suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Alfons Sampsted does the damage! The net is bulging and Birmingham City FC surge ahead!
  • 47' Assisted by Kieran Dowell with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jay Stansfield makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' The 24-year-old JJ McKiernan has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' Tomoki Iwata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
  • 66' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Taylor Gardner-Hickman has done his job and it is now time for Keshi Anderson to step up.
  • 67' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Marc Leonard exits the field as Seung-Ho Paik enters on 67.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Finn Delap comes on to replace Udoka Malife.
  • 76' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — JJ McKiernan exits the field as Anthony Forde enters on 76.
  • 77' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabio Tavares is hanging Julian Larsson on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' Burton Albion FC currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Finn Delap. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Burton Albion FC ring the changes. Rumarn Burrell has done his job and it is now time for Mason Bennett to step up.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Keshi Anderson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christoph Klarer on 90 minutes.
  • 90' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Kieran Dowell exits the field as Luke Harris enters on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Burton Albion FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC30% Draw28% Birmingham City FC42%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
70%
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC23% Draw47% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.