Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
- Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
- Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)
3 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Stockport County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Crawley Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Apr | Peterborough United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Barnsley FC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 01 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 2 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 2 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burton Albion FC and Birmingham City FC is underway.
- 5' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Seung-Ho Paik suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 44' Alfons Sampsted does the damage! The net is bulging and Birmingham City FC surge ahead!
- 47' Assisted by Kieran Dowell with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jay Stansfield makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' The 24-year-old JJ McKiernan has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 62' Tomoki Iwata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
- 66' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Taylor Gardner-Hickman has done his job and it is now time for Keshi Anderson to step up.
- 67' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Marc Leonard exits the field as Seung-Ho Paik enters on 67.
- 71' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Finn Delap comes on to replace Udoka Malife.
- 76' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — JJ McKiernan exits the field as Anthony Forde enters on 76.
- 77' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabio Tavares is hanging Julian Larsson on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' Burton Albion FC currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 84' Poor challenge from Finn Delap. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 84' Burton Albion FC ring the changes. Rumarn Burrell has done his job and it is now time for Mason Bennett to step up.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Keshi Anderson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christoph Klarer on 90 minutes.
- 90' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Kieran Dowell exits the field as Luke Harris enters on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Burton Albion FC.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
18
Rumarn Burrell ↓ Mason Bennett 84'
-
2
Udoka Malife ↓ Finn Delap 71'
- 36
- 17
- 3
- 33
-
24
JJ McKiernan ↓ Anthony Forde 76'
- 19
-
22
Julian Larsson ↓ Fabio Tavares 77'
Bench
-
32
Mason Bennett ↑ 84'
-
44
Anthony Forde ↑ 76'
-
23
Fabio Tavares ↑ 77'
- 13
- 7
-
26
Finn Delap ↑ 71'
-
10
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 76'
Coach
Gary Bowyer
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
30
Kieran Dowell ↓ Luke Harris 90'
- 31
- 21
- 24
-
23
Alfons Sampsted ↓ Ethan Laird 77'
- 20
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Alfie May 66'
- 4
- 19
-
12
Marc Leonard ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 67'
- 18
Bench
- 25
- 45
-
9
Alfie May ↑ 66'
-
14
Keshi Anderson ↑ 66'
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 77'
-
26
Luke Harris ↑ 90'
-
13
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 67'
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Stansfield | 2 |
| Alfons Sampsted | 1 |
| Fabio Tavares | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2025-04-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-04-18
Exeter City FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
2025-04-12
Burton Albion FC
3–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2025-04-05
Wrexham AFC
3–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2025-04-01
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-03-29
Stockport County FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-04-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-18
Birmingham City FC
0–0
Crawley Town FC
D
2025-04-08
Peterborough United FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-04-05
Birmingham City FC
6–2
Barnsley FC
W
2025-04-01
Bristol Rovers FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-03-29
Birmingham City FC
4–1
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
70%
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Birmingham City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

