Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 4,928 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Alfons Sampsted
0–2 45+2' Jay Stansfield
Fabio Tavares 90+4' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Burton Albion FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 0–0 D
12 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
05 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–3 L
01 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
18 Apr Crawley Town FC H 0–0 D
08 Apr Peterborough United FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr Barnsley FC H 6–2 W
01 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pirelli Stadium that hosts another battle between Burton Albion FC and Birmingham City FC.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Udoka Malife suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Birmingham City FC have won 433 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Rumarn Burrell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alfons Sampsted makes it 0-1.
  • 47' What composure from Jay Stansfield! The England international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 52' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Keshi Anderson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Davies might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 66' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Taylor Gardner-Hickman is withdrawn and Keshi Anderson gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Seung-Ho Paik is hanging Marc Leonard on the field on 67 minute.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Finn Delap. He replaces Udoka Malife on 71 minute.
  • 76' Anthony Forde is replacing JJ McKiernan for the Burton Albion FC side.
  • 77' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Julian Larsson by Fabio Tavares on 77 minute.
  • 82' JJ McKiernan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Birmingham City FC so far.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Finn Delap.
  • 84' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Bennett is hanging Rumarn Burrell on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' Keshi Anderson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christoph Klarer on 90.
  • 90' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Kieran Dowell departs to be replaced by Luke Harris.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Burton Albion FC 1-2 Birmingham City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC30% Draw28% Birmingham City FC42%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
70%
Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC23% Draw47% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.