Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2024-25

Burton Albion FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 4,928 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 44' Alfons Sampsted

0–2 45+2' Jay Stansfield

Fabio Tavares 90+4' 1–2

Finn Delap 84' Y

Y 89' Keshi Anderson

Y 90' Christoph Klarer

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
Assistant 1 Jacob Lehane (England)
Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2024-12-26 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Birmingham City FC	H	1–2	L
18 Apr	Exeter City FC	A	0–0	D
12 Apr	Huddersfield Town AFC	H	3–0	W
05 Apr	Wrexham AFC	A	0–3	L
01 Apr	Leyton Orient FC	H	2–1	W
29 Mar	Stockport County FC	A	1–2	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Burton Albion FC	A	2–1	W
18 Apr	Crawley Town FC	H	0–0	D
08 Apr	Peterborough United FC	A	2–1	W
05 Apr	Barnsley FC	H	6–2	W
01 Apr	Bristol Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
29 Mar	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	4–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burton Albion FC to score. At the same time, Birmingham City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Seung-Ho Paik needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
20' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Keshi Anderson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jack Armer made 378 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
35' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
44' What a strike from Alfons Sampsted! The score is 0-1.
47' Goal! Jay Stansfield scores his 42 goal in 341 matches.
52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
62' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
66' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 66 minute. Taylor Gardner-Hickman leaves to be changed by Keshi Anderson.
67' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 67 minute. Marc Leonard leaves to be changed by Seung-Ho Paik.
71' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Udoka Malife is replaced by Finn Delap on 71 minute.
76' The supporters are chanting for Anthony Forde. He replaces JJ McKiernan on 76 minute.
77' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Julian Larsson by Fabio Tavares on 77 minute.
82' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Finn Delap on 84.
84' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Bennett is hanging Rumarn Burrell on the field on 84 minute.
89' Birmingham City FC player sees a card in front of him.
90' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a card on 90.
90' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Kieran Dowell departs to be replaced by Luke Harris.
With this win, Birmingham City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

32
Mason Bennett ↑ 84'
44
Anthony Forde ↑ 76'
23
Fabio Tavares ↑ 77'
13
Harry Isted
7
Tomas Kalinauskas
26
Finn Delap ↑ 71'
10
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 76'

Coach Gary Bowyer

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

30
Kieran Dowell ↓ Luke Harris 90'
31
Grant Hanley
21
Ryan Allsop
24
Tomoki Iwata
23
Alfons Sampsted ↓ Ethan Laird 77'
20
Alex Cochrane
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Alfie May 66'
4
Christoph Klarer
19
Taylor Gardner-Hickman ↓ Keshi Anderson 66'
12
Marc Leonard ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 67'
18
Willum Thor Willumsson

Bench

25
Ben Davies
45
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
9
Alfie May ↑ 66'
14
Keshi Anderson ↑ 66'
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 77'
26
Luke Harris ↑ 90'
13
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 67'

Coach Chris Davies

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jay Stansfield	2
Alfons Sampsted	1
Fabio Tavares	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.21 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.43 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC30% Draw28% Birmingham City FC42%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

70%

Burton Albion FC or Birmingham City FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burton Albion FC23% Draw47% Birmingham City FC30%

Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 1

9.2%

0 – 0

9.2%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

7.1%

2 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	21%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Burton Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

Birmingham City FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Clean Sheet