Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 27,524 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Stansfield pen 26' 1–0
Max Crocombe og 56' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Mather
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Crawley Town FC A 1–0 W
14 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
07 Dec Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
04 Dec Stockport County FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
21 Dec Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
14 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Wrexham AFC H 0–1 L
04 Dec Peterborough United FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Tamworth FC H 3–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 391 games and scored 426 goals.
  • 10' It’s high time Gary Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Bowyer will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Birmingham City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keshi Anderson made 57 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' What a strike from Jay Stansfield! The score is 1-0.
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Birmingham City FC and Burton Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mason Bennett, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Keshi Anderson is replaced by Emil Hansson.
  • 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Max Crocombe.
  • 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' The New Zealand Max Crocombe breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 1-1!
  • 61' Tomas Kalinauskas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 243 appearances.
  • 66' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 67' Burton Albion FC make a change. Ciaran Gilligan trudges off to be replaced by Tomas Kalinauskas on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Birmingham City FC in their trying to find a way past Burton Albion FC's compact .
  • 80' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Jay Stansfield is replaced by Luke Harris.
  • 85' The 28-year-old Krystian Bielik has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 89' Taylor Gardner-Hickman gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Willum Thor Willumsson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Burton Albion FC will have plenty to reflect on. Birmingham City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC61% Draw26% Burton Albion FC13%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
39%
Birmingham City FC or Burton Albion FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC39% Draw51% Burton Albion FC10%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18%
0 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 27% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.