Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 27,524 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Stansfield pen 26' 1–0
Max Crocombe og 56' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Burton Albion FCLeague One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Mather
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Crawley Town FC A 1–0 W
14 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
07 Dec Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
04 Dec Stockport County FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
21 Dec Exeter City FC H 1–2 L
14 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Wrexham AFC H 0–1 L
04 Dec Peterborough United FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Tamworth FC H 3–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds St Andrew's Ground will turn into a battlefield for Birmingham City FC and Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Kgaogelo Chauke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' Goal! Jay Stansfield scores his 42 goal in 341 matches.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Emil Hansson is replacing Keshi Anderson for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 48' Max Crocombe was booked on 48.
  • 53' Lyndon Dykes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 56' GOAL! Max Crocombe scores on 56.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomas Kalinauskas is hanging Ciaran Gilligan on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' Luke Harris has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jay Stansfield on 80 minute.
  • 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilo Orsi-Dadomo made 13 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 89' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taylor Gardner-Hickman is hanging Willum Thor Willumsson on the field on 89 minute.
  • With this win, Birmingham City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC61% Draw26% Burton Albion FC13%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
39%
Birmingham City FC or Burton Albion FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC39% Draw51% Burton Albion FC10%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18%
0 – 0
14.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 27% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.