Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,601 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaidon Anthony 9' 1–0
Josh Brownhill 62' 2–0
2–1 80' Kwadwo Baah

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
06 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
26 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Burnley FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
11 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
26 Nov Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
22 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Watford FC
#20 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 20th (0 pts). Watford FC are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jeremy Ngakia made 341 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 9' Against the run of play, Jaidon Anthony has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 14' Festy Ebosele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 19' Edo Kayembe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 24' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Hannibal Mejbri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Andrews suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' Jeremy Ngakia is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 46' Francisco Sierralta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rocco Vata on 46 minute.
  • 49' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 54' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Jeremy Ngakia as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Andrews steps in for Watford FC.
  • 60' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Yasser Larouci exits the field as Festy Ebosele enters on 60.
  • 62' Goal! Josh Brownhill scores his 45 goal in 387 matches.
  • 64' CJ Egan-Riley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
  • 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Daniel Jebbison on 71 minute.
  • 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' Kwadwo Baah has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Pierre Dwomoh is replaced by Edo Kayembe.
  • 84' Luca Koleosho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hannibal Mejbri at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' James Trafford picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Zian Flemming is replaced by Jay Rodriguez.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.67 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.45 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Burnley FC or Draw 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC41% Draw40% Watford FC19%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Watford FC
59%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC19% Draw70% Watford FC11%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
35.6%
1 – 0
20.1%
0 – 1
12.8%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
2.8%
1 – 2
2.3%
3 – 0
1.5%
2 – 2
1%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 24% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 15% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
64%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.