Burnley FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
- Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #1 |
| 4 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 0 / 4 / 4 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 13 |
| 17 | Conceded | 6 |
| -8 | GD | +7 |
| 0.50 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 0% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Turf Moor. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Burnley FC and Swansea City AFC.
- 5' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Joe Allen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Goncalo Franco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Myles Peart-Harris made 349 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Josh Cullen argues furiously but the card stands.
- 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Swansea City AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 42' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 47' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 52' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
- 57' Swansea City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Ronald. He receives a card.
- 62' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Zan Vipotnik departs to be replaced by Florian Bianchini.
- 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Swansea City AFC winning 100% of all matches.
- 68' Burnley FC make a change. Lucas Pires trudges off to be replaced by Bashir Humphreys on 68 minutes.
- 69' A tactical swap from Burnley FC — Enock Agyei on, Luca Koleosho off on 69 minutes.
- 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luke Williams might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 78' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Myles Peart-Harris is withdrawn and Kyle Naughton gets his opportunity.
- 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Connor Roberts, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
- 85' The whistle greets Ronald as he departs to be replaced by Cyrus Christie.
- 86' Liam Cullen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Benjamin Cabango.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Burnley FC take all three points.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 14
-
24
Josh Cullen ↓ Josh Laurent 78'
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Jay Rodriguez 78'
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 5
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Bashir Humphreys 68'
- 6
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Enock Agyei 69'
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 78'
- 16
- 32
- 37
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 78'
- 39
-
12
Bashir Humphreys ↑ 68'
-
48
Enock Agyei ↑ 69'
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 78'
Coach
Scott Parker
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Joe Allen ↓ Liam Cullen 62'
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 6
- 5
- 14
- 17
- 25
- 9
-
35
Ronald ↓ Cyrus Christie 85'
Bench
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 78'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 62'
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 85'
- 3
- 21
- 32
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 62'
- 47
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Rodriguez | 3 |
| Ian Maatsen | 3 |
| Adam Idah | 1 |
| Zan Vipotnik | 1 |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 1 |
| Largie Ramazani | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Anass Zaroury | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Swansea City AFC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
62%
Burnley FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
11.6%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

