Tuesday , 11 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Burnley FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
31 Aug West Ham United FC H 0–3 L
24 Aug Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
17 Aug Brentford FC H 3–1 W
25 May Chelsea FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Burnley FC Nottingham Forest FC
#2 Position #19
22 Points 44
38 Played 38
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 11 / 11 / 16
38 Scored 48
75 Conceded 51
-37 GD -3
0.58 PPG 1.16
11% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 19th (44 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Nottingham Forest FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC36% Draw28% Nottingham Forest FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
64%
Burnley FC or Nottingham Forest FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC24% Draw48% Nottingham Forest FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.