Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2022-23 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2022-23
Tue 16 May 2023 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
13 May Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
08 May Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
01 May Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
24 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
19 Apr Reading FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Luton Town FC A 0–2 L
13 May Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
08 May Preston North End FC A 3–0 W
29 Apr Watford FC H 2–2 D
23 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–1 W
18 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Kenilworth Road as Luton Town FC face off against Sunderland AFC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' What a moment for Gabriel Osho! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 15' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 18' Jordan Clark was booked on 18.
  • 23' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Luke O'Nien.
  • 35' Luke O'Nien is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sunderland AFC so far.
  • 40' The 33-year-old Pelly Ruddock has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 43' Tom Lockyer does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
  • 48' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniel Neil suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' A change in the Sunderland AFC ranks — Alex Pritchard exits the field as Ajibola Alese enters on 57.
  • 62' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 64' Edouard Michut is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joe Gelhardt at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 77' Niall Huggins is replacing Lynden Gooch for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Sunderland AFC team. Lynden Gooch is replaced by Niall Huggins on 78 minute.
  • 83' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Jordan Clark by Allan Campbell on 83 minute.
  • 88' Jordan Clark has been relatively quiet despite scoring 34 goals in his last 231 appearances.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Pelly Ruddock gets a Yellow card.
  • Sunderland AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Luton Town FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC44% Draw29% Sunderland AFC27%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
56%
Luton Town FC or Sunderland AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC29% Draw51% Sunderland AFC20%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.