Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Botafogo FR vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 2
Full Time
Wed 4 Jun 2025 · 23:00 UTC Engenhao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Ceara SC — Serie A at Engenhao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Ceará SC H 3–2 W
01 Jun Santos FC A 1–0 W
18 May CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
11 May SC Internacional H 4–0 W
04 May EC Bahia A 0–1 L
27 Apr Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
01 Jun CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
17 May SC Recife H 2–0 W
12 May Santos FC A 0–0 D
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 9 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Botafogo FR and Ceara SC is underway.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Lele has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 398 appearances.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 352 games and scored 361 goals.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. John made 293 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' A goal from the Uruguay international Gonzalo Mastriani! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Pedro Henrique. He receives a card.
  • 50' It looks surprising Ceara SC does not make any changes. Gregore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 52' Poor challenge from Willian Machado. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 57' Pedro Raul does the damage! The net is bulging and Ceara SC surge ahead!
  • 61' Botafogo FR manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathan Ribeiro is hanging Santiago Rodriguez on the field on 61 minute.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Nicolas Vichiatto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 72' What a moment for Alex Telles! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 73' Lourenco is replacing Fernando Sobral for the Ceara SC side.
  • 75' Ceara SC ring the changes. Lucas Mugni has done his job and it is now time for Matheus Araujo to step up.
  • 76' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Gonzalo Mastriani is withdrawn and Danilo Barbosa gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Marlon Freitas has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 80' The whistle greets Dieguinho as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Lima.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Botafogo FR — Allan on, Marlon Freitas off on 81 minutes.
  • 86' The travelling Ceara SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 87' Pedro Raul is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 90' Nathan Ribeiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Fabiano Silva is replaced by Fernandinho.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR53% Draw24% Ceará SC23%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or Ceará SC
47%
Botafogo FR or Ceará SC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR37% Draw43% Ceará SC20%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.