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Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 1 Dec 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Markus Schuller

Head-to-Head

12
2
2
Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.8 goals SC Freiburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
28 Nov Club Brugge KV H 0–0 D
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
10 Nov FC Bayern München H 3–2 W
06 Nov Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–2 L
03 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
25 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
10 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
03 Nov FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
31 Oct Holstein Kiel A 1–2 L
26 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg
#8 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Borussia Dortmund to score. At the same time, SC Freiburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Jacob Bruun Larsen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 521 appearances.
  • 25' Abdou Diallo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Marco Reus, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Borussia Dortmund currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' The crowd applauds Dan-Axel Zagadou as he leaves the pitch. Omer Toprak steps in for BV Borussia 09 Dortmund.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marco Reus makes it 0-1.
  • 45' SC Freiburg player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 50' Borussia Dortmund are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nils Petersen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 65' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 68' Yoric Ravet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mike Frantz on 68 minute.
  • 70' A tactical swap from BV Borussia 09 Dortmund — Paco Alcacer on, Mario Gotze off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 521 games and scored 798 goals.
  • 77' It is a substitution in SC Freiburg team. Nils Petersen is replaced by Lucas Holer on 77 minute.
  • 78' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Jerome Gondorf departs to be replaced by Tim Kleindienst.
  • 81' Maximilian Philipp gets the nod from BV Borussia 09 Dortmund. He replaces Marco Reus and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 89' Lukasz Piszczek catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' Paco Alcacer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Borussia Dortmund 2-0 SC Freiburg. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund52% Draw35% SC Freiburg13%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 35%
65%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
88%
Draw or SC Freiburg
48%
Borussia Dortmund or SC Freiburg
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund28% Draw67% SC Freiburg5%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32%
1 – 0
25.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
1.4%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.8%
2 – 2
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 30% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 8% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
74%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.