Saturday , 14 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 26,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kieran Dowell pen 71' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Lincoln City FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee David Rock
  • Assistant 1 Lewis Raper (England)
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 18.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
15 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
04 Mar Crawley Town FC H 4–1 W
01 Mar Barnsley FC A 3–4 L
22 Feb Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L
18 Feb Mansfield Town FC A 3–0 W
15 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds St Andrew's Ground will turn into a battlefield for Birmingham City FC and Lincoln City FC.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Adam Jackson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Christoph Klarer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Lincoln City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Lincoln City FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skubala might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 50' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Seung-Ho Paik, a South Korea , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Conor McGrandles is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Lincoln City FC.
  • 65' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' The 24-year-old George Wickens has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 71' Kieran Dowell does the damage! The net is bulging and Birmingham City FC surge ahead!
  • 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Birmingham City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. Birmingham City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' Both keepers have barely been tested. Birmingham City FC and Lincoln City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • The final score is 1-0.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC54% Draw26% Lincoln City FC20%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
46%
Birmingham City FC or Lincoln City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC35% Draw48% Lincoln City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.