Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 5 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hertha BSCBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Henrik Bramlage
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Hertha BSC H 4–1 W
26 Feb SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
23 Feb AS Monaco FC A 8–5 W
19 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
16 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
25 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
19 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 1–4 L
12 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–1 W
04 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
28 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Bayer 04 Leverkusen get us underway at BayArena.
  • 5' Hertha BSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 12' What a moment for Sardar Azmoun! That strike on 12 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' What a moment for Jeremie Frimpong! That strike on 21 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 26' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Exequiel Palacios has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' The crowd applauds Jeremie Frimpong as he leaves the pitch. Timothy Fosu-Mensah steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 34' Jonjoe Kenny is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hertha BSC tonight.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Hertha BSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' It is a cagey affair so far. Bayer 04 Leverkusen in their trying to find a way past Hertha BSC's compact .
  • 58' A tactical swap from Hertha BSCStevan Jovetic on, Florian Niederlechner off on 58 minutes.
  • 60' A goal from the France international Moussa Diaby! He fires home on 60 to make it 3-0!
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 67' Magnificent from Dodi Lukebakio! That is 65 goals in 302 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 69' Amine Adli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Moussa Diaby at the 69 minute mark.
  • 73' The Morocco forward Amine Adli breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 4-1!
  • 73' Another change for Hertha BSC made on 73 minute. Tolga Cigerci leaves to be changed by Jessic Ngankam.
  • 75' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hertha BSC that had 464 games and scored 445 goals.
  • 82' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Piero Hincapie has done his job and it is now time for Daley Sinkgraven to step up.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Jonjoe Kenny. He replaces Dodi Lukebakio on 83 minute.
  • 84' Hertha BSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ivan Sunjic is hanging Marco Richter on the field on 84 minute.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Jonjoe Kenny is booked for Hertha BSC — Yellow card on 87.
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen56% Draw23% Hertha BSC21%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
78%
Draw or Hertha BSC
44%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Hertha BSC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen40% Draw41% Hertha BSC19%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
28%
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.