Sunday , 16 August 2026

Athletic Club vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Wed 23 Apr 2025 · 17:00 UTC San Mames Barria 47,724 HT 45' · FT 45'
Inaki Williams 5' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at San Mames Barria.

Match Details

  • Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera
  • Assistant 1 Diego Santaursula Aguado (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ivan Hernandez Ramos (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr UD Las Palmas H 1–0 W
20 Apr Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W
13 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–1 W
10 Apr Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Athletic Club A 0–1 L
19 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–0 W
12 Apr Getafe CF A 3–1 W
06 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–3 L
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 1–1 D
14 Mar Deportivo Alavés H 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Athletic Club to score. At the same time, UD Las Palmas does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' GOAL! Inaki Williams fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 11' Controversy at the stadium! Yuri Berchiche argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 16' The 21-year-old Stefan Bajcetic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 22' Another substitution for Athletic Club to replace Oihan Sancet by Peio Canales on 22 minute.
  • 27' Stefan Bajcetic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 27.
  • 32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Las Palmas needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ernesto Valverde will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 52' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 53' Oliver McBurnie picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' Ruiz de Galarreta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 63' UD Las Palmas have won 92 goals from 118 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 65' Another substitution for UD Las Palmas to replace Sandro by Mata on 65 minute.
  • 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Athletic Club and UD Las Palmas are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 74' The crowd applauds Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park as he leaves the pitch. Adnan Januzaj steps in for UD Las Palmas.
  • 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alex Suarez.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniel Vivian, as he is very good at scoring at San Mames Barria with 5 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Marc Cardona. He replaces Alex Suarez on 84 minute.
  • 89' Spain international Mata has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • The points are shared — Athletic Club 1-0 UD Las Palmas. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club54% Draw27% UD Las Palmas19%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
80%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
46%
Athletic Club or UD Las Palmas
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club34% Draw50% UD Las Palmas16%
Actual: Athletic Club win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
43%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.