Saturday , 14 November 2026

Atalanta BC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AS Roma — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan AS Roma H 1–0 W
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
21 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Cagliari Calcio H 2–1 W
09 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
06 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Genoa CFC H 3–1 W
20 Dec Juventus FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec Como 1907 H 1–0 W
11 Dec Celtic FC A 3–0 W
07 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AS Roma
#12 Position #3
14 Points 27
11 Played 11
4 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 3 / 0
17 Scored 31
20 Conceded 10
-3 GD +21
1.27 PPG 2.45
36% Win % 73%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
55% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.19 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or AS Roma 77% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC34% Draw23% AS Roma43%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
57%
Draw or AS Roma
66%
Atalanta BC or AS Roma
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC19% Draw42% AS Roma39%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
15% ✗
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.