Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
27 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W
07 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Aston Villa FC A 4–1 W
01 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Burnley FC H 1–1 D
13 Feb Hull City AFC A 4–0 W
10 Feb Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
07 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Chelsea FC
#11 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Chelsea FC are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.61 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC21% Draw32% Chelsea FC47%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Chelsea FC
79%
Aston Villa FC or Chelsea FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC12% Draw55% Chelsea FC33%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 1
18.1%
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 2
11.8%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 4
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 12% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 27% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 16% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.