Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Aston Villa FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Chelsea FC

Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League .

Aston Villa FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Chelsea FC 5 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett

4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Chelsea FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC 2025-12-27 Chelsea FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC 2025-02-22 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Chelsea FC 2024-12-01 Chelsea FC 3–0 Aston Villa FC 2024-04-27 Aston Villa FC 2–2 Chelsea FC

Recent Form

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Chelsea FC	H	1–4	L
27 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	0–2	L
21 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	1–3	L
11 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	1–0	W
07 Feb	AFC Bournemouth	A	1–1	D

Chelsea FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Aston Villa FC	A	4–1	W
01 Mar	Arsenal FC	A	1–2	L
21 Feb	Burnley FC	H	1–1	D
13 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	4–0	W
10 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	2–2	D
07 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC		Chelsea FC
#16	Position	#10
4	Points	7
5	Played	5
1 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 2
4	Scored	10
9	Conceded	12
-5	GD	-2
0.80	PPG	1.40
20%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Chelsea FC are 10th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Chelsea FC

0-15

5/–

16-30

–/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC

Joao Pedro	3 G	3 A
Morgan Rogers	3 G	1 A
Cole Palmer	2 G	2 A
Pedro Neto	1 G
Romeo Lavia	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Aston Villa FC face off against Chelsea FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
Another three points for Chelsea FC.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Romelu Lukaku	3
Mason Mount	3
Ollie Watkins	3
Enzo Fernandez	3
Nicolas Jackson	2
Marco Asensio	2
Jorginho	2
Olivier Giroud	2

Head to Head

Aston Villa FC Form

2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-27 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2026-02-21 Aston Villa FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2026-02-14 Aston Villa FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L 2026-02-11 Aston Villa FC 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2026-02-07 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa FC D

Chelsea FC Form

2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC W 2026-03-01 Arsenal FC 2–1 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-21 Chelsea FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2026-02-13 Hull City AFC 0–4 Chelsea FC W 2026-02-10 Chelsea FC 2–2 Leeds United FC D 2026-02-07 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1–3 Chelsea FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.4 Aston Villa FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.5 Chelsea FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC24% Draw23% Chelsea FC53%

Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw

47%

Draw or Chelsea FC

76%

Aston Villa FC or Chelsea FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC18% Draw37% Chelsea FC45%

Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.6%

1 – 1

7.9%

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 3

5.2%

2 – 3

4.9%

2 – 1

4.9%

0 – 1

4.7%

1 – 4

Actual

0 – 4

3.2%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap	Aston Villa FC covers	Push	Chelsea FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	11%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	20%	40%
+1.5	60%	—	40%
+2	60%	18%	22%
+2.5	78%	—	22%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.