Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs FC Porto, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

5 2
4 – 2 pen
Full Time
Tue 12 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Leandro Trossard 41' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs FC PortoChampions League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Erwan Finjean
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Arsenal FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Porto

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar FC Porto H 5–2 W
09 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
04 Mar Sheffield United FC A 6–0 W
24 Feb Newcastle United FC H 4–1 W
21 Feb FC Porto A 0–1 L
17 Feb Burnley FC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Arsenal FC A 2–5 L
08 Mar Portimonense SC A 3–0 W
03 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 5–0 W
25 Feb Gil Vicente FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Arsenal FC and FC Porto has kicked off!
  • 5' Otavio Ataide needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' The travelling FC Porto supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marko Grujic made 464 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jorge Sanchez, as he is very good at scoring at Emirates Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Arsenal FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a card for William Saliba.
  • 41' Goal! Leandro Trossard scores his 90 goal in 316 matches.
  • 46' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Martin Odegaard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stephen Eustaquio suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' Mikel Arteta is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 73' The referee shows FC Porto player a card on 73.
  • 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Conceicao on 78.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Arsenal FC team. Jorginho is replaced by Gabriel Jesus on 83 minute.
  • 85' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Joao Mario Lopes departs to be replaced by Jorge Sanchez.
  • 88' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Evanilson departs to be replaced by Mehdi Taremi.
  • 90' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Alan Varela departs to be replaced by Marko Grujic.
  • Full Time. Arsenal FC beats FC Porto

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC52% Draw23% FC Porto25%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Porto
48%
Arsenal FC or FC Porto
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC39% Draw40% FC Porto21%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
26%
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.