Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs Arsenal FC, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

1 0
Full Time
Wed 21 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao HT 45' · FT 45'
Galeno 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Arsenal FCChampions League at Estadio Do Dragao.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Johan Balder
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Porto 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
12 Feb FC Arouca A 2–3 L
03 Feb Rio Ave FC H 0–0 D
28 Jan SC Farense A 3–1 W
20 Jan Moreirense FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb FC Porto A 0–1 L
17 Feb Burnley FC A 5–0 W
11 Feb West Ham United FC A 6–0 W
04 Feb Liverpool FC H 3–1 W
30 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–1 W
20 Jan Crystal Palace FC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Porto is hosting Arsenal FC for another epic battle.
  • 2' The referee calls foul for Declan Rice. He receives a card.
  • 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 414 games and scored 725 goals.
  • 12' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' FC Porto is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 22' FC Porto started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Arsenal FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' It’s high time Mikel Arteta made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' Alan Varela needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 34 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Francisco Conceicao on 52.
  • 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Jakub Kiwior.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Kai Havertz.
  • 62' The referee shows FC Porto player a card on 62.
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' The travelling Arsenal FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 74' Jorginho is replacing Leandro Trossard for the Arsenal FC side.
  • 79' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Otavio Ataide has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' Another substitution for FC Porto to replace Nico Gonzalez by Ivan Jaime Pajuelo on 80 minute.
  • 85' Time for substitution for FC Porto. Evanilson is replaced by Toni Martinez.
  • 90' FC Porto manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stephen Eustaquio is hanging Wendell on the field on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. FC Porto beats Arsenal FC

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: FC Porto or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto42% Draw30% Arsenal FC28%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
72%
Draw or Arsenal FC
58%
FC Porto or Arsenal FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto27% Draw52% Arsenal FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
36%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.