Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arsenal FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 30 Dec 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC H 4–1 W
27 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Everton FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
10 Dec Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
06 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Arsenal FC A 1–4 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
06 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Aston Villa FC
#2 Position #16
12 Points 4
5 Played 5
4 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
8 Scored 4
4 Conceded 9
+4 GD -5
2.40 PPG 0.80
80% Win % 20%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Arsenal FC are 2nd (12 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Arsenal FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC62% Draw21% Aston Villa FC17%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
38%
Arsenal FC or Aston Villa FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC49% Draw39% Aston Villa FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 22% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.