Sunday , 16 August 2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hamburger SV, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
4 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 31 Oct 2023 · 19:45 UTC SchucoArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hamburger SVDFB-Pokal at SchucoArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–5 L
12 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 6–3 W
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 0–6 L
31 Jul FV 07 Engers A 7–1 W
14 May RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
06 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Arminia Bielefeld A 5–4 W
28 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 3–3 D
21 Oct SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 2–0 W
07 Oct SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–1 D
29 Sep TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–0 W
22 Sep VfL Osnabruck A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.2 Arminia Bielefeld xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld39% Draw24% Hamburger SV37%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
63%
Draw or Hamburger SV
61%
Arminia Bielefeld or Hamburger SV
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld33% Draw37% Hamburger SV30%
Actual: Arminia Bielefeld win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Arminia Bielefeld

Handicap Arminia Bielefeld covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 12% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
13%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.