Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Gamba Osaka H 3–3 D
15 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
08 Mar Tōkyō Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Albirex Niigata A 3–3 D
16 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
08 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
02 Mar Tōkyō Verdy A 1–0 W
26 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Albirex Niigata welcome Gamba Osaka for this crunch clash at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' Motoki Hasegawa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 38' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' Brilliant from the ! Issam Jebali makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 43.
  • 46' Kaito Taniguchi makes way for Jin Okumura at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 66' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Yuji Ono has done his job and it is now time for Ken Yamura to step up.
  • 67' The deadlock is broken! Issam Jebali gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
  • 70' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Juan Alano by Shoji Toyama on 70 minute.
  • 74' GOAL! Jin Okumura fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 79' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Shu Kurata departs to be replaced by Takashi Usami.
  • 82' Ken Yamura does the damage! The net is bulging and Albirex Niigata surge ahead!
  • 87' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 89' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Kazuhiko Chiba by Jason Geria on 89 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata37% Draw27% Gamba Osaka36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw44% Gamba Osaka27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.