Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Albirex Niigata

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Soya Fujiwara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō 2024-07-13 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tōkyō 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tōkyō 2023-04-29 FC Tōkyō 2–1 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	FC Tōkyō	H	2–3	L
29 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
26 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
20 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
11 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo is underway.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past FC Tokyo's compact .
8' A goal from the Brazil international Marcelo Ryan! He fires home on 8 to make it 0-1!
13' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
23' FC Tokyo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
38' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
43' Teppei Oka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Albirex Niigata so far.
48' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
52' A stunning finish from Kei Koizumi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
57' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
58' The whistle greets Yota Komi as he departs to be replaced by Danilo.
59' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Keita Endo is withdrawn and Soma Anzai gets his opportunity.
64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jason Geria made 210 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
66' Keisuke Kasai does the damage! The net is bulging and Albirex Niigata surge ahead!
67' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshiaki Takagi is hanging Hiroki Akiyama on the field on 67 minute.
72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
73' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Kosuke Shirai comes on to replace Takahiro Ko.
75' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Kein Sato exits the field as Teruhito Nakagawa enters on 75.
80' Leon Nozawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcelo Ryan makes it 1-3.
85' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Taiki Arai departs to be replaced by Yuji Hoshi.
86' The crowd applauds Henrique Trevisan as he leaves the pitch. Teppei Oka steps in for FC Tokyo.
90' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Soya Fujiwara gets a card.
2-3 the final result. Albirex Niigata will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Michael Fitzgerald
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 85'
20
Miguel Silveira ↑ 85'
11
Danilo ↑ 58'
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 67'
15
Fumiya Hayakawa
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 67'
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 58'
1
Kazuki Fujita

Coach Daisuke Kimori

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosuke Shirai ↑ 73'
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 75'
4
Yasuki Kimoto
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 86'
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 59'
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 86'
53
Maki Kitahara
27
Kyota Tokiwa ↑ 86'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	2
Teruhito Nakagawa	2
Keita Endo	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Keisuke Kasai	1
Matheus Moraes	1
Ryotaro Ito	1
Kosuke Shirai	1

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō L 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2025-04-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-04-19 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-04-13 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2025-04-06 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Albirex Niigata W

FC Tokyo Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō W 2025-04-29 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-04-11 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-04-06 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata30% Draw28% FC Tokyo42%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tokyo

70%

Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Albirex Niigata23% Draw46% FC Tokyo31%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.