Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Albirex Niigata
2 – 2
Full Time
Cerezo Osaka FC
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 49' Thiago Andrade
Y 74' Shunta Tanaka
Y 80' Hinata Kida

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

2
2
2
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Cerezo Osaka FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-07-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
14 Feb Gamba Osaka A 5–2 W
08 Dec FC Tokyo A 0–3 L
30 Nov Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Albirex Niigata welcome Cerezo Osaka FC for this crunch clash at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
  • 5' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daisuke Kimori might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' A stunning finish from Ken Yamura — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 22' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 27' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 28' The deadlock is broken! Motohiko Nakajima gets on the scoresheet on 28 minutes.
  • 33' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 38' Taiki Arai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' Michael Fitzgerald has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' A moment of madness from Thiago Andrade on 49 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
  • 54' The crowd applauds Thiago Andrade as he leaves the pitch. Reiya Sakata steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 62' Goal! Motoki Hasegawa scores his 9 goal in 110 matches.
  • 64' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Vitor Bueno by Hinata Kida on 64 minute.
  • 69' Yuji Hoshi makes way for Yoshiaki Takagi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 74' Shunta Tanaka catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
  • 75' The whistle greets Hayato Okuda as he departs to be replaced by Rafael Ratao.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Hinata Kida. He receives a card.
  • 84' Yota Komi gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Motoki Hasegawa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' The whistle greets Ken Yamura as he departs to be replaced by Jason Geria.
  • 90' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daisuke Kimori

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Papas

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Motohiko Nakajima 2
Lucas Fernandes 2
Eitaro Matsuda 1
Rafael Ratao 1
Motoki Hasegawa 1
Hiroaki Okuno 1
Ken Yamura 1
Hirotaka Tameda 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-07-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Albirex Niigata L 2025-02-22 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Albirex Niigata L 2025-02-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-12-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Albirex Niigata D 2024-11-30 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Gamba Osaka L

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-02-22 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-02-14 Gamba Osaka 2–5 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-12-08 FC Tokyo 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-11-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata42% Draw27% Cerezo Osaka FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw46% Cerezo Osaka FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.