Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
14 Feb Gamba Osaka A 5–2 W
08 Dec FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
30 Nov Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 4 G
Pablo Sabbag 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Albirex Niigata have kicked off against Cerezo Osaka FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hayato Inamura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Soya Fujiwara made 110 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ken Yamura makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michael Fitzgerald suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' Motohiko Nakajima does the damage! The net is bulging and Cerezo Osaka FC surge ahead!
  • 33' It’s high time Daisuke Kimori made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 48' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thiago Andrade on 49.
  • 54' Reiya Sakata is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thiago Andrade at the 54 minute mark.
  • 59' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' Motoki Hasegawa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 64' The whistle greets Vitor Bueno as he departs to be replaced by Hinata Kida.
  • 69' Yoshiaki Takagi gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Yuji Hoshi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Shunta Tanaka on 74 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Rafael Ratao on, Hayato Okuda off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Cerezo Osaka FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Motoki Hasegawa departs to be replaced by Yota Komi.
  • 85' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Ken Yamura is withdrawn and Jason Geria gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • The points are shared — Albirex Niigata 2-2 Cerezo Osaka FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata42% Draw27% Cerezo Osaka FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw46% Cerezo Osaka FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.